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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 8 October 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 30
  5. 32
  6. 34
  7. 15

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,250 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-10-04All recent draws2025-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 17 30 32 34 + 1523 Sept 2026, 23:45 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

83oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 83 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

5180times
11182times
17209times
30175times
32

Prize breakdown · 2025-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.6Mto 271k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$262.7K
  • Match 433%NZ$523.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus31%NZ$500.5K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$320.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

189times
34180times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 17, 30, 34) with the draw of 9 January 2021 — its closest relative in 1,249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2025): 17, 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 17% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$20,210
  • Match 5359≈ 420 by chanceNZ$726
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,008≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 416,359≈ 17k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,760≈ 22k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3231,393≈ 231k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,008 winners, 4% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$20,210
    Match 5359NZ$726
    Match 4 + Bonus1,008NZ$59.00
    Match 416,359NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,760NZ$23.00
    Match 3231,393NZ$0.00
    Totals270,892—