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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 October 2025

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 11
  3. 24
  4. 37
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,251 of 1,359 under them

← 2025-10-08All recent draws2025-10-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 11 24 37 39 40 + 424 Sept 2026, 00:40 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

7174times
11183times
24201times
37172times
39

Prize breakdown · 2025-10-11

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 353k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 633%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$658.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$666.6K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$747.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

167times
40191times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,250 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (7, 11, 37, 39, 40) with the draw of 9 March 2013 — its closest relative in 1,250 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2025): 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

158

The numbers add up to 158 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus18≈ 16 by chanceNZ$18,723
  • Match 5517≈ 544 by chanceNZ$647
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,437≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 421,255≈ 22k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,298≈ 29k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3299,775≈ 300k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,437 winners, 6% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus18NZ$18,723
    Match 5517NZ$647
    Match 4 + Bonus1,437NZ$53.00
    Match 421,255NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,298NZ$22.00
    Match 3299,775NZ$0.00
    Totals353,304—