In Lotto under the 6/40 + 1/40 · since Oct 2024 rules — 211 draws, 6 from 1–40.
21times drawn · chance expected 32 −2.05σ
19draws waiting · a wait this long: 5% for any number
9.2average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
26longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long
22 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 21 times in 211 draws against 31.6 expected, −2.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 19 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 6 times, counted separately.
22
Number 22, draw by draw
Drawn 21 times in 211 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 19 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 39 numbers; chance expects about 3 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.