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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lotto under the 6/40 + 1/40 · since Oct 2024 rules — 211 draws, 6 from 1–40.
Drawn 28 times in 211 draws against 31.6 expected, −0.70σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
Drawn 28 times in 211 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 39 numbers; chance expects about 1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 4 | 5th | 71011152831 |
| 2026-09-23 | 1 | 5th | 4817232834 |
| 2026-09-19 | 4 | 3rd | 62428303335 |
| 2026-09-05 | 4 | 6th | 169152728 |
| 2026-08-22 | 19 | 5th | 21920232834 |
| 2026-06-17 | 3 | 3rd | 182128293033 |
| 2026-06-06 | 4 | 5th | 11523252837 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2 | 5th | 51324262839 |
| 2026-05-16 | 6 | 5th | 91326272834 |
| 2026-04-25 | 12 | 4th | 171824283840 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1 | 3rd | 182628293437 |
| 2026-03-11 | 4 | 4th | 2514283132 |
| 2026-02-25 | 4 | 5th | 11120242840 |
| 2026-02-11 | 1 | 4th | 41921283336 |
| 2026-02-07 | 1 | 4th | 132123283136 |
| 2026-02-04 | 4 | 5th | 21316232831 |
| 2026-01-21 | 6 | 5th | 4814192829 |
| 2025-12-31 | 9 | 4th | 92125283235 |
| 2025-11-29 | 25 | 4th | 81123283740 |
| 2025-09-03 | 11 | 5th | 6814212836 |
| 2025-07-26 | 6 | 3rd | 2828303140 |
| 2025-07-05 | 12 | 4th | 121723283140 |
| 2025-05-24 | 18 | 5th | 31424272840 |
| 2025-03-22 | 8 | 5th | 147162829 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.