Wednesday, 31 May 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (14, 19, 26, 27) with the draw of 10 January 2014 — its closest relative in 1,467 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 35% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 May 2017): 6, 19, 26 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.