Saturday, 11 January 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (30, 34, 38, 39) with the draw of 27 September 2016 — its closest relative in 2,284 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 49% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 January 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 151 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.