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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Apr 2023 rules — 880 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 59 times in 880 draws against 58.7 expected, +0.05σ. Each draw is independent: after 21 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 59 times in 880 draws · average wait 14.6 draws · longest completed wait 71 · waiting 21 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 13 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 13 is picked about 0.92× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 13 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 19 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-09-13 | 29 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-08-15 | 30 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-07-16 | 43 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-06-03 | 10 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-05-24 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2026-05-21 | 8 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-12-29 | 4 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-12-25 | 5 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-12-20 | 11 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-12-09 | 4 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-12-05 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-12-04 | 17 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-11-17 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-11-14 | 44 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-10-01 | 7 | 1st | 13 |
| 2025-09-24 | 52 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-11-11 | 9 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-11-02 | 10 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-10-23 | 8 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-10-15 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-10-14 | 36 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-09-08 | 8 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-08-31 | 22 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-08-09 | 30 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-07-10 | 32 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-06-08 | 25 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-05-14 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-05-13 | 5 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-05-08 | 12 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-04-26 | 6 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-04-20 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-04-17 | 5 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-04-12 | 5 | 1st |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 13 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 13 |
| 2024-04-07 | 4 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-04-03 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-04-02 | 14 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-03-19 | 8 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-03-11 | 5 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-03-06 | 6 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-02-29 | 20 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-02-09 | 19 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-01-21 | 7 | 1st | 13 |
| 2024-01-14 | 14 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-12-31 | 11 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-12-20 | 9 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-12-11 | 2 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-12-09 | 63 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-10-07 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-10-06 | 6 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-09-30 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-09-27 | 1 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-09-26 | 71 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-07-17 | 42 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-06-05 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-06-02 | 6 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-05-27 | 3 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-05-24 | 22 | 1st | 13 |
| 2023-05-02 | — | 1st | 13 |