Cash Ball · every number
4
Number 4 In Cash Ball under the 4/33 · Apr 2010 – Jan 2017 rules — 2,103 draws, 4 from 1–33 (an earlier era).
4/35 + 1/25 · since Jan 2017 4/33 · Apr 2010 – Jan 2017 289 times drawn · chance expected 255 +2.28σ
31 draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number
7.2 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.3
30 longest completed wait · >99% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 289 times in 2,103 draws against 254.9 expected, +2.28σ. Each draw is independent: after 31 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 289 times in 2,103 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 31 draws now
5 draws: 2010-04-07 to 2010-04-13 24 draws: 2010-04-13 to 2010-05-11 13 draws: 2010-05-11 to 2010-05-26 20 draws: 2010-05-26 to 2010-06-18 2 draws: 2010-06-18 to 2010-06-21 6 draws: 2010-06-21 to 2010-06-28 10 draws: 2010-06-28 to 2010-07-09 12 draws: 2010-07-09 to 2010-07-23 5 draws: 2010-07-23 to 2010-07-29 4 draws: 2010-07-29 to 2010-08-03 9 draws: 2010-08-03 to 2010-08-13 8 draws: 2010-08-13 to 2010-08-23 11 draws: 2010-08-23 to 2010-09-04 5 draws: 2010-09-04 to 2010-09-10 2 draws: 2010-09-10 to 2010-09-13 13 draws: 2010-09-13 to 2010-09-28 13 draws: 2010-09-28 to 2010-10-13 12 draws: 2010-10-13 to 2010-10-27 2 draws: 2010-10-27 to 2010-10-29 14 draws: 2010-10-29 to 2010-11-15 12 draws: 2010-11-15 to 2010-11-29 1 draws: 2010-11-29 to 2010-11-30 22 draws: 2010-11-30 to 2010-12-25 1 draws: 2010-12-25 to 2010-12-27 9 draws: 2010-12-27 to 2011-01-06 2 draws: 2011-01-06 to 2011-01-08 9 draws: 2011-01-08 to 2011-01-19 3 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-01-22 5 draws: 2011-01-22 to 2011-01-28 11 draws: 2011-01-28 to 2011-02-10 5 draws: 2011-02-10 to 2011-02-16 4 draws: 2011-02-16 to 2011-02-21 8 draws: 2011-02-21 to 2011-03-02 13 draws: 2011-03-02 to 2011-03-17 7 draws: 2011-03-17 to 2011-03-25 5 draws: 2011-03-25 to 2011-03-31 8 draws: 2011-03-31 to 2011-04-09 4 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-04-14 13 draws: 2011-04-14 to 2011-04-30 1 draws: 2011-04-30 to 2011-05-02 11 draws: 2011-05-02 to 2011-05-14 9 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-05-25 10 draws: 2011-05-25 to 2011-06-06 2 draws: 2011-06-06 to 2011-06-08 10 draws: 2011-06-08 to 2011-06-20 3 draws: 2011-06-20 to 2011-06-23 5 draws: 2011-06-23 to 2011-06-29 9 draws: 2011-06-29 to 2011-07-09 2 draws: 2011-07-09 to 2011-07-12 12 draws: 2011-07-12 to 2011-07-26 6 draws: 2011-07-26 to 2011-08-02 5 draws: 2011-08-02 to 2011-08-08 3 draws: 2011-08-08 to 2011-08-11 18 draws: 2011-08-11 to 2011-09-02 4 draws: 2011-09-02 to 2011-09-07 10 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-09-19 4 draws: 2011-09-19 to 2011-09-23 5 draws: 2011-09-23 to 2011-09-29 10 draws: 2011-09-29 to 2011-10-11 1 draws: 2011-10-11 to 2011-10-12 11 draws: 2011-10-12 to 2011-10-26 9 draws: 2011-10-26 to 2011-11-05 5 draws: 2011-11-05 to 2011-11-11 8 draws: 2011-11-11 to 2011-11-22 1 draws: 2011-11-22 to 2011-11-23 3 draws: 2011-11-23 to 2011-11-26 3 draws: 2011-11-26 to 2011-11-30 30 draws: 2011-11-30 to 2012-01-04 3 draws: 2012-01-04 to 2012-01-07 7 draws: 2012-01-07 to 2012-01-16 2 draws: 2012-01-16 to 2012-01-18 3 draws: 2012-01-18 to 2012-01-21 2 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-01-24 2 draws: 2012-01-24 to 2012-01-26 4 draws: 2012-01-26 to 2012-01-31 2 draws: 2012-01-31 to 2012-02-02 5 draws: 2012-02-02 to 2012-02-08 5 draws: 2012-02-08 to 2012-02-14 5 draws: 2012-02-14 to 2012-02-20 3 draws: 2012-02-20 to 2012-02-23 3 draws: 2012-02-23 to 2012-02-27 9 draws: 2012-02-27 to 2012-03-08 3 draws: 2012-03-08 to 2012-03-12 2 draws: 2012-03-12 to 2012-03-14 12 draws: 2012-03-14 to 2012-03-28 6 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-04-04 1 draws: 2012-04-04 to 2012-04-05 1 draws: 2012-04-05 to 2012-04-06 9 draws: 2012-04-06 to 2012-04-17 29 draws: 2012-04-17 to 2012-05-23 20 draws: 2012-05-23 to 2012-06-15 15 draws: 2012-06-15 to 2012-07-03 18 draws: 2012-07-03 to 2012-07-24 1 draws: 2012-07-24 to 2012-07-25 19 draws: 2012-07-25 to 2012-08-21 1 draws: 2012-08-21 to 2012-08-22 8 draws: 2012-08-22 to 2012-08-31 12 draws: 2012-08-31 to 2012-09-14 2 draws: 2012-09-14 to 2012-09-17 2 draws: 2012-09-17 to 2012-09-19 10 draws: 2012-09-19 to 2012-10-01 3 draws: 2012-10-01 to 2012-10-04 1 draws: 2012-10-04 to 2012-10-05 15 draws: 2012-10-05 to 2012-10-23 6 draws: 2012-10-23 to 2012-10-30 16 draws: 2012-10-30 to 2012-11-17 7 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-11-26 3 draws: 2012-11-26 to 2012-11-29 1 draws: 2012-11-29 to 2012-11-30 16 draws: 2012-11-30 to 2012-12-19 1 draws: 2012-12-19 to 2012-12-20 4 draws: 2012-12-20 to 2012-12-25 26 draws: 2012-12-25 to 2013-01-24 9 draws: 2013-01-24 to 2013-02-04 2 draws: 2013-02-04 to 2013-02-06 26 draws: 2013-02-06 to 2013-03-08 1 draws: 2013-03-08 to 2013-03-09 1 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-03-11 7 draws: 2013-03-11 to 2013-03-19 2 draws: 2013-03-19 to 2013-03-21 4 draws: 2013-03-21 to 2013-03-26 2 draws: 2013-03-26 to 2013-03-28 7 draws: 2013-03-28 to 2013-04-05 1 draws: 2013-04-05 to 2013-04-06 17 draws: 2013-04-06 to 2013-04-26 6 draws: 2013-04-26 to 2013-05-03 6 draws: 2013-05-03 to 2013-05-10 1 draws: 2013-05-10 to 2013-05-11 15 draws: 2013-05-11 to 2013-05-29 7 draws: 2013-05-29 to 2013-06-06 5 draws: 2013-06-06 to 2013-06-12 2 draws: 2013-06-12 to 2013-06-14 4 draws: 2013-06-14 to 2013-06-19 3 draws: 2013-06-19 to 2013-06-22 2 draws: 2013-06-22 to 2013-06-25 6 draws: 2013-06-25 to 2013-07-02 5 draws: 2013-07-02 to 2013-07-08 4 draws: 2013-07-08 to 2013-07-12 11 draws: 2013-07-12 to 2013-07-25 4 draws: 2013-07-25 to 2013-07-30 2 draws: 2013-07-30 to 2013-08-01 9 draws: 2013-08-01 to 2013-08-12 18 draws: 2013-08-12 to 2013-09-02 5 draws: 2013-09-02 to 2013-09-07 3 draws: 2013-09-07 to 2013-09-11 11 draws: 2013-09-11 to 2013-09-24 14 draws: 2013-09-24 to 2013-10-10 4 draws: 2013-10-10 to 2013-10-15 10 draws: 2013-10-15 to 2013-10-26 2 draws: 2013-10-26 to 2013-10-29 8 draws: 2013-10-29 to 2013-11-08 8 draws: 2013-11-08 to 2013-11-18 6 draws: 2013-11-18 to 2013-11-25 3 draws: 2013-11-25 to 2013-11-28 5 draws: 2013-11-28 to 2013-12-04 6 draws: 2013-12-04 to 2013-12-11 15 draws: 2013-12-11 to 2013-12-28 8 draws: 2013-12-28 to 2014-01-07 6 draws: 2014-01-07 to 2014-01-14 4 draws: 2014-01-14 to 2014-01-18 3 draws: 2014-01-18 to 2014-01-22 2 draws: 2014-01-22 to 2014-01-24 4 draws: 2014-01-24 to 2014-01-29 4 draws: 2014-01-29 to 2014-02-03 8 draws: 2014-02-03 to 2014-02-12 1 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-02-13 10 draws: 2014-02-13 to 2014-02-25 2 draws: 2014-02-25 to 2014-02-27 25 draws: 2014-02-27 to 2014-03-28 2 draws: 2014-03-28 to 2014-03-31 5 draws: 2014-03-31 to 2014-04-05 3 draws: 2014-04-05 to 2014-04-09 3 draws: 2014-04-09 to 2014-04-12 3 draws: 2014-04-12 to 2014-04-16 1 draws: 2014-04-16 to 2014-04-17 25 draws: 2014-04-17 to 2014-05-16 1 draws: 2014-05-16 to 2014-05-17 2 draws: 2014-05-17 to 2014-05-20 1 draws: 2014-05-20 to 2014-05-21 5 draws: 2014-05-21 to 2014-05-27 15 draws: 2014-05-27 to 2014-06-13 6 draws: 2014-06-13 to 2014-06-20 19 draws: 2014-06-20 to 2014-07-12 2 draws: 2014-07-12 to 2014-07-15 4 draws: 2014-07-15 to 2014-07-19 9 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-07-30 24 draws: 2014-07-30 to 2014-08-27 8 draws: 2014-08-27 to 2014-09-05 20 draws: 2014-09-05 to 2014-09-29 13 draws: 2014-09-29 to 2014-10-14 1 draws: 2014-10-14 to 2014-10-15 6 draws: 2014-10-15 to 2014-10-22 2 draws: 2014-10-22 to 2014-10-24 6 draws: 2014-10-24 to 2014-10-31 15 draws: 2014-10-31 to 2014-11-18 5 draws: 2014-11-18 to 2014-11-24 3 draws: 2014-11-24 to 2014-11-27 4 draws: 2014-11-27 to 2014-12-02 2 draws: 2014-12-02 to 2014-12-04 23 draws: 2014-12-04 to 2014-12-31 1 draws: 2014-12-31 to 2015-01-01 22 draws: 2015-01-01 to 2015-01-27 4 draws: 2015-01-27 to 2015-01-31 3 draws: 2015-01-31 to 2015-02-04 9 draws: 2015-02-04 to 2015-02-14 9 draws: 2015-02-14 to 2015-02-25 5 draws: 2015-02-25 to 2015-03-03 12 draws: 2015-03-03 to 2015-03-17 5 draws: 2015-03-17 to 2015-03-23 3 draws: 2015-03-23 to 2015-03-26 22 draws: 2015-03-26 to 2015-04-21 24 draws: 2015-04-21 to 2015-05-19 1 draws: 2015-05-19 to 2015-05-20 5 draws: 2015-05-20 to 2015-05-26 1 draws: 2015-05-26 to 2015-05-27 1 draws: 2015-05-27 to 2015-05-28 5 draws: 2015-05-28 to 2015-06-03 8 draws: 2015-06-03 to 2015-06-12 3 draws: 2015-06-12 to 2015-06-16 3 draws: 2015-06-16 to 2015-06-19 1 draws: 2015-06-19 to 2015-06-20 2 draws: 2015-06-20 to 2015-06-23 16 draws: 2015-06-23 to 2015-07-11 8 draws: 2015-07-11 to 2015-07-21 3 draws: 2015-07-21 to 2015-07-24 2 draws: 2015-07-24 to 2015-07-27 11 draws: 2015-07-27 to 2015-08-08 9 draws: 2015-08-08 to 2015-08-19 3 draws: 2015-08-19 to 2015-08-22 12 draws: 2015-08-22 to 2015-09-05 2 draws: 2015-09-05 to 2015-09-08 3 draws: 2015-09-08 to 2015-09-11 8 draws: 2015-09-11 to 2015-09-21 13 draws: 2015-09-21 to 2015-10-06 2 draws: 2015-10-06 to 2015-10-08 10 draws: 2015-10-08 to 2015-10-20 1 draws: 2015-10-20 to 2015-10-21 7 draws: 2015-10-21 to 2015-10-29 7 draws: 2015-10-29 to 2015-11-06 3 draws: 2015-11-06 to 2015-11-10 9 draws: 2015-11-10 to 2015-11-20 6 draws: 2015-11-20 to 2015-11-27 3 draws: 2015-11-27 to 2015-12-01 7 draws: 2015-12-01 to 2015-12-09 4 draws: 2015-12-09 to 2015-12-14 2 draws: 2015-12-14 to 2015-12-16 6 draws: 2015-12-16 to 2015-12-23 8 draws: 2015-12-23 to 2016-01-01 1 draws: 2016-01-01 to 2016-01-02 2 draws: 2016-01-02 to 2016-01-05 15 draws: 2016-01-05 to 2016-01-22 6 draws: 2016-01-22 to 2016-01-29 2 draws: 2016-01-29 to 2016-02-01 3 draws: 2016-02-01 to 2016-02-04 13 draws: 2016-02-04 to 2016-02-19 6 draws: 2016-02-19 to 2016-02-26 3 draws: 2016-02-26 to 2016-03-01 7 draws: 2016-03-01 to 2016-03-09 3 draws: 2016-03-09 to 2016-03-12 1 draws: 2016-03-12 to 2016-03-14 3 draws: 2016-03-14 to 2016-03-17 3 draws: 2016-03-17 to 2016-03-21 26 draws: 2016-03-21 to 2016-04-20 10 draws: 2016-04-20 to 2016-05-02 9 draws: 2016-05-02 to 2016-05-12 7 draws: 2016-05-12 to 2016-05-20 10 draws: 2016-05-20 to 2016-06-01 2 draws: 2016-06-01 to 2016-06-03 12 draws: 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-17 19 draws: 2016-06-17 to 2016-07-09 5 draws: 2016-07-09 to 2016-07-15 4 draws: 2016-07-15 to 2016-07-20 16 draws: 2016-07-20 to 2016-08-08 13 draws: 2016-08-08 to 2016-08-23 3 draws: 2016-08-23 to 2016-08-26 1 draws: 2016-08-26 to 2016-08-27 2 draws: 2016-08-27 to 2016-08-30 4 draws: 2016-08-30 to 2016-09-03 7 draws: 2016-09-03 to 2016-09-12 4 draws: 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-16 14 draws: 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-03 6 draws: 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-10 2 draws: 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 2 draws: 2016-10-12 to 2016-10-14 13 draws: 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-29 9 draws: 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-09 13 draws: 2016-11-09 to 2016-11-24 5 draws: 2016-11-24 to 2016-11-30 Still waiting — at least 31 draws since 2016-11-30 2010-04-07 2010-04-13 2010-05-11 2010-05-26 2010-06-18 2010-06-21 2010-06-28 2010-07-09 2010-07-23 2010-07-29 2010-08-03 2010-08-13 2010-08-23 2010-09-04 2010-09-10 2010-09-13 2010-09-28 2010-10-13 2010-10-27 2010-10-29 2010-11-15 2010-11-29 2010-11-30 2010-12-25 2010-12-27 2011-01-06 2011-01-08 2011-01-19 2011-01-22 2011-01-28 2011-02-10 2011-02-16 2011-02-21 2011-03-02 2011-03-17 2011-03-25 2011-03-31 2011-04-09 2011-04-14 2011-04-30 2011-05-02 2011-05-14 2011-05-25 2011-06-06 2011-06-08 2011-06-20 2011-06-23 2011-06-29 2011-07-09 2011-07-12 2011-07-26 2011-08-02 2011-08-08 2011-08-11 2011-09-02 2011-09-07 2011-09-19 2011-09-23 2011-09-29 2011-10-11 2011-10-12 2011-10-26 2011-11-05 2011-11-11 2011-11-22 2011-11-23 2011-11-26 2011-11-30 2012-01-04 2012-01-07 2012-01-16 2012-01-18 2012-01-21 2012-01-24 2012-01-26 2012-01-31 2012-02-02 2012-02-08 2012-02-14 2012-02-20 2012-02-23 2012-02-27 2012-03-08 2012-03-12 2012-03-14 2012-03-28 2012-04-04 2012-04-05 2012-04-06 2012-04-17 2012-05-23 2012-06-15 2012-07-03 2012-07-24 2012-07-25 2012-08-21 2012-08-22 2012-08-31 2012-09-14 2012-09-17 2012-09-19 2012-10-01 2012-10-04 2012-10-05 2012-10-23 2012-10-30 2012-11-17 2012-11-26 2012-11-29 2012-11-30 2012-12-19 2012-12-20 2012-12-25 2013-01-24 2013-02-04 2013-02-06 2013-03-08 2013-03-09 2013-03-11 2013-03-19 2013-03-21 2013-03-26 2013-03-28 2013-04-05 2013-04-06 2013-04-26 2013-05-03 2013-05-10 2013-05-11 2013-05-29 2013-06-06 2013-06-12 2013-06-14 2013-06-19 2013-06-22 2013-06-25 2013-07-02 2013-07-08 2013-07-12 2013-07-25 2013-07-30 2013-08-01 2013-08-12 2013-09-02 2013-09-07 2013-09-11 2013-09-24 2013-10-10 2013-10-15 2013-10-26 2013-10-29 2013-11-08 2013-11-18 2013-11-25 2013-11-28 2013-12-04 2013-12-11 2013-12-28 2014-01-07 2014-01-14 2014-01-18 2014-01-22 2014-01-24 2014-01-29 2014-02-03 2014-02-12 2014-02-13 2014-02-25 2014-02-27 2014-03-28 2014-03-31 2014-04-05 2014-04-09 2014-04-12 2014-04-16 2014-04-17 2014-05-16 2014-05-17 2014-05-20 2014-05-21 2014-05-27 2014-06-13 2014-06-20 2014-07-12 2014-07-15 2014-07-19 2014-07-30 2014-08-27 2014-09-05 2014-09-29 2014-10-14 2014-10-15 2014-10-22 2014-10-24 2014-10-31 2014-11-18 2014-11-24 2014-11-27 2014-12-02 2014-12-04 2014-12-31 2015-01-01 2015-01-27 2015-01-31 2015-02-04 2015-02-14 2015-02-25 2015-03-03 2015-03-17 2015-03-23 2015-03-26 2015-04-21 2015-05-19 2015-05-20 2015-05-26 2015-05-27 2015-05-28 2015-06-03 2015-06-12 2015-06-16 2015-06-19 2015-06-20 2015-06-23 2015-07-11 2015-07-21 2015-07-24 2015-07-27 2015-08-08 2015-08-19 2015-08-22 2015-09-05 2015-09-08 2015-09-11 2015-09-21 2015-10-06 2015-10-08 2015-10-20 2015-10-21 2015-10-29 2015-11-06 2015-11-10 2015-11-20 2015-11-27 2015-12-01 2015-12-09 2015-12-14 2015-12-16 2015-12-23 2016-01-01 2016-01-02 2016-01-05 2016-01-22 2016-01-29 2016-02-01 2016-02-04 2016-02-19 2016-02-26 2016-03-01 2016-03-09 2016-03-12 2016-03-14 2016-03-17 2016-03-21 2016-04-20 2016-05-02 2016-05-12 2016-05-20 2016-06-01 2016-06-03 2016-06-17 2016-07-09 2016-07-15 2016-07-20 2016-08-08 2016-08-23 2016-08-26 2016-08-27 2016-08-30 2016-09-03 2016-09-12 2016-09-16 2016-10-03 2016-10-10 2016-10-12 2016-10-14 2016-10-29 2016-11-09 2016-11-24 2016-11-30 2010-04-07 2017-01-05 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 30 times 2 draws: 38 times 3 draws: 35 times 4 draws: 22 times 5 draws: 26 times 6 draws: 18 times 7 draws: 12 times 8 draws: 14 times 9 draws: 17 times 10 draws: 11 times 11 draws: 7 times 12 draws: 9 times 13 draws: 11 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 7 times 16 draws: 4 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 3 times 19 draws: 3 times 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 3 times 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 3 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 205 · chance 212.9 2nd smallest 81 · chance 71.0 3rd smallest 3 · chance 5.1 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 27.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 32 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 33. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 3 Every number number 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 4/33 tonight whatever it did last week.