Saturday, 10 July 2021

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 15, 33) with the draw of 24 April 2021 — its closest relative in 1,202 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 July 2021): 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 107 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.