Number 15

In Megabucks under the 6/49 · since Jan 2010 rules — 1,908 draws, 6 from 1–49.

239times drawn · chance expected 234 +0.37σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

43longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 239 times in 1,908 draws against 233.6 expected, +0.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 239 times in 1,908 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest32 · chance 38.8
2nd smallest95 · chance 90.6
3rd smallest84 · chance 76.0
4th smallest24 · chance 28.5
5th smallest4 · chance 4.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 24.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

38 18 40 19 1 12

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-19	6	2nd	4 15 19 23 26 32
2026-10-05	5	2nd	5 15 29 32 33 38
2026-09-23	3	2nd	3 15 25 29 41 44
2026-09-16	8	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-12-29	2	3rd	2 7 15 30 39 40
2025-12-24	6	4th	5 7 12 15 21 33
2025-12-10	14	2nd	13 15 29 33 39 44
2025-11-08	9	4th	2 4 5 15 24 34
2025-10-18	21	5th	2 7 10 14 15 31
2025-08-30	34	3rd	11 13 15 27 34 44
2025-06-11	2	2nd	8 15 19 24 37 39
2025-06-07	3	4th	1 6 12 15 27 29
2025-05-31	19	2nd	13 15 19 29 34 35
2025-04-16	2	2nd	8 15 18 24 41 42
2025-04-12	10	2nd	10 15 18 21 25 40
2025-03-19	19	3rd	9 10 15 22 28 34
2025-02-03	8	3rd	3 9 15 26 37 41
2025-01-15	9	3rd	3 9 15 28 32 40
2024-12-25	2	3rd	8 12 15 18 19 30
2024-12-21	8	3rd	2 14 15 25 38 39
2024-12-02	7	1st	15 17 20 27 30 38
2024-11-16	3	2nd	6 15 22 29 33 41
2024-11-09	1	1st	15 21 24 27 32 38
2024-11-06	12	2nd	1 15 19 22 36 40
2024-10-09	7	2nd	8 15 17 22 27 29
2024-09-23	3	2nd	1 15 20 28 32 37
2024-09-16	6	2nd	4 15 17 21 24 25
2024-09-02	3	2nd	4 15 34 37 40 42
2024-08-26	15	3rd	4 11 15 17 21 42
2024-07-22	4	1st	15 20 24 30 31 40
2024-07-13	8	2nd	12 15 18 20 23 24
2024-06-24	7	2nd	14 15 16 22 28 44
2024-06-08	1	2nd	10 15 19 27 31 43
2024-06-05	6	2nd	3 15 33 34 36 39
2024-05-22	1	2nd	5 15 16 34 35 36
2024-05-20	7	3rd	2 12 15 24 39 42
2024-05-04	7	3rd	4 11 15 26 30 40
2024-04-17	2	3rd	4 8 15 22 36 37
2024-04-13	9	3rd	2 7 15 19 35 42
2024-03-23	16	4th	10 12 13 15 30 43
2024-02-14	1	4th	1 3 14 15 32 37
2024-02-12	3	3rd	5 11 15 18 35 44
2024-02-05	3	3rd	6 12 15 16 17 43
2024-01-29	5	2nd	3 15 18 25 33 40
2024-01-17	28	1st	15 16 21 25 28 39
2023-11-13	5	4th	5 6 13 15 30 44
2023-10-28	9	2nd	8 15 19 31 36 38
2023-09-27	5	2nd	11 15 30 32 38 41
2023-09-09	8	2nd	10 15 36 37 38 44
2023-08-12	2	3rd	2 7 15 18 25 29
2023-08-05	3	3rd	1 12 15 27 31 45
2023-07-26	1	2nd	4 15 38 42 44 45
2023-07-22	1	3rd	2 10 15 22 41 43
2023-07-19	6	3rd	1 13 15 18 31 47
2023-06-28	4	2nd	4 15 22 29 38 43
2023-06-14	8	3rd	8 14 15 16 21 41
2023-05-17	5	2nd	3 15 16 24 35 48
2023-04-29	3	3rd	11 12 15 38 40 41
2023-04-19	1	2nd	1 15 26 28 39 49
2023-04-15	7	2nd	4 15 25 29 40 46
2023-03-22	7	1st	15 24 29 30 39 47
2023-02-25	12	2nd	8 15 23 25 31 45
2023-01-14	4	3rd	6 14 15 24 40 41
2022-12-31	18	2nd	1 15 27 32 36 44
2022-10-29	3	1st	15 21 23 26 33 41
2022-10-19	3	4th	4 5 14 15 21 43
2022-10-08	8	1st	15 20 26 29 35 40
2022-09-10	1	3rd	3 10 15 17 26 38
2022-09-07	18	2nd	7 15 25 34 37 47
2022-07-06	3	2nd	4 15 19 20 34 44
2022-06-25	3	3rd	8 10 15 27 28 40
2022-06-15	3	2nd	12 15 16 18 39 45
2022-06-04	2	4th	2 3 12 15 22 43
2022-05-28	28	1st	15 28 29 34 38 44
2022-02-19	4	3rd	4 14 15 31 38 39
2022-02-05	8	2nd	2 15 21 36 39 47
2022-01-08	14	2nd	6 15 18 19 31 38
2021-11-20	12	1st	15 16 18 40 47 48
2021-10-09	16	2nd	10 15 19 21 33 36
2021-08-14	2	2nd	14 15 17 38 42 46
2021-08-07	8	4th	7 13 14 15 33 44
2021-07-10	12	3rd	9 10 15 17 23 33
2021-05-29	5	1st	15 25 27 38 46 48
2021-05-12	1	2nd	11 15 27 31 42 46
2021-05-08	4	3rd	2 4 15 36 43 48
2021-04-24	8	3rd	3 10 15 33 37 41
2021-03-27	12	3rd	3 12 15 42 44 45
2021-02-13	13	2nd	9 15 16 18 38 40
2020-12-30	7	3rd	6 7 15 22 38 45
2020-12-05	5	3rd	1 3 15 18 26 47
2020-11-18	13	3rd	1 3 15 16 17 48
2020-10-03	5	3rd	1 2 15 20 38 49
2020-09-16	2	4th	1 10 14 15 27 34
2020-09-09	7	3rd	1 13 15 34 38 47
2020-08-15	7	1st	15 18 22 23 29 38
2020-07-22	3	3rd	3 6 15 39 42 46
2020-07-11	24	2nd	10 15 22 33 45 47
2020-04-18	5	3rd	5 8 15 43 45 47
2020-04-01	1	3rd	1 6 15 18 30 37
2020-03-28	3	3rd	6 7 15 34 40 49
2020-03-18	1	4th	4 7 8 15 35 36
2020-03-14	1	2nd	6 15 19 21 24 38
2020-03-11	1	3rd	3 7 15 34 40 47
2020-03-07	1	2nd	8 15 16 35 37 38
2020-03-04	5	1st	15 24 26 30 31 47
2020-02-15	2	2nd	10 15 30 40 42 49
2020-02-08	10	2nd	7 15 16 23 42 43
2020-01-04	1	2nd	5 15 27 29 41 45
2020-01-01	1	4th	2 10 14 15 25 48
2019-12-28	6	2nd	12 15 21 29 36 40
2019-12-07	9	3rd	9 12 15 16 34 36
2019-11-06	18	2nd	12 15 19 28 31 32
2019-09-04	23	3rd	1 3 15 17 28 47
2019-06-15	26	3rd	5 14 15 23 45 46
2019-03-16	2	2nd	9 15 24 35 39 44
2019-03-09	12	2nd	11 15 27 30 34 42
2019-01-26	2	3rd	3 4 15 23 39 45
2019-01-19	2	2nd	2 15 19 31 39 44
2019-01-12	5	1st	15 20 26 27 41 49
2018-12-26	6	2nd	5 15 27 38 41 43
2018-12-05	4	1st	15 18 19 29 39 45
2018-11-21	7	2nd	11 15 25 26 35 39
2018-10-27	5	1st	15 20 23 32 33 35
2018-10-10	9	2nd	7 15 18 34 38 47
2018-09-08	3	2nd	3 15 16 23 45 46
2018-08-29	1	3rd	8 11 15 23 31 38
2018-08-25	1	2nd	5 15 20 23 24 46
2018-08-22	6	2nd	14 15 18 23 27 30
2018-08-01	2	2nd	13 15 26 27 31 34
2018-07-25	2	4th	2 10 14 15 42 47
2018-07-18	1	2nd	11 15 23 33 38 43
2018-07-14	6	3rd	11 14 15 37 38 47
2018-06-23	2	3rd	5 7 15 19 28 39
2018-06-16	4	3rd	7 12 15 27 30 48
2018-06-02	6	2nd	9 15 38 39 42 49
2018-05-12	5	2nd	14 15 18 26 29 44
2018-04-25	5	3rd	11 12 15 33 42 49
2018-04-07	8	5th	1 2 12 13 15 16
2018-03-10	10	4th	1 13 14 15 21 46
2018-02-03	7	2nd	4 15 16 26 41 47
2018-01-10	11	1st	15 18 25 36 38 39
2017-12-02	14	4th	2 5 14 15 23 26
2017-10-14	4	5th	4 7 12 13 15 22
2017-09-30	6	4th	7 12 14 15 22 34
2017-09-09	6	3rd	2 4 15 32 36 48
2017-08-19	7	1st	15 24 26 40 43 48
2017-07-26	9	2nd	2 15 22 32 45 48
2017-06-24	43	2nd	8 15 24 29 43 48
2017-01-25	8	2nd	1 15 19 22 39 44
2016-12-28	7	3rd	4 12 15 30 39 45
2016-12-03	4	3rd	3 10 15 36 40 47
2016-11-19	38	3rd	8 9 15 20 41 43
2016-07-09	10	3rd	5 11 15 32 44 49
2016-06-04	9	2nd	9 15 20 24 32 42
2016-05-04	2	4th	6 11 13 15 21 43
2016-04-27	8	2nd	2 15 21 36 44 49
2016-03-30	21	2nd	13 15 19 32 37 47
2016-01-16	24	1st	15 27 33 45 47 48
2015-10-24	13	1st	15 18 28 30 34 49
2015-09-09	2	3rd	9 12 15 37 41 49
2015-09-02	9	3rd	6 9 15 32 36 47
2015-08-01	2	3rd	3 7 15 18 20 41
2015-07-25	4	2nd	12 15 22 26 40 45
2015-07-11	10	4th	2 6 13 15 18 20
2015-06-06	7	4th	6 7 13 15 20 23
2015-05-13	8	3rd	4 13 15 17 30 47
2015-04-15	13	1st	15 27 30 34 36 44
2015-02-28	10	1st	15 16 18 35 43 45
2015-01-24	1	2nd	2 15 27 32 38 49
2015-01-21	2	3rd	6 12 15 24 25 37
2015-01-14	9	3rd	7 9 15 28 42 43
2014-12-13	7	3rd	11 13 15 17 33 49
2014-11-19	1	3rd	4 8 15 20 29 44
2014-11-15	12	1st	15 22 26 35 44 46
2014-10-04	7	2nd	9 15 22 25 28 41
2014-09-10	1	3rd	1 13 15 22 38 40
2014-09-06	15	3rd	2 12 15 23 24 38
2014-07-16	1	1st	15 26 30 37 42 49
2014-07-12	38	3rd	10 14 15 20 37 43
2014-03-01	8	2nd	1 15 29 35 44 46
2014-02-01	13	2nd	10 15 16 22 34 44
2013-12-18	4	2nd	8 15 18 41 42 49
2013-12-04	3	1st	15 28 32 35 38 43
2013-11-23	9	1st	15 23 33 34 44 45
2013-10-23	2	3rd	9 14 15 19 32 36
2013-10-16	28	4th	3 5 13 15 18 23
2013-07-10	6	3rd	5 10 15 19 33 45
2013-06-19	12	1st	15 24 25 35 42 48
2013-05-08	9	3rd	3 10 15 34 35 48
2013-04-06	1	2nd	2 15 31 44 45 48
2013-04-03	26	3rd	1 8 15 26 33 41
2013-01-02	30	2nd	6 15 16 17 42 49
2012-09-19	8	3rd	3 13 15 19 30 41
2012-08-22	2	2nd	10 15 20 21 25 40
2012-08-15	11	2nd	10 15 18 26 30 45
2012-07-07	3	2nd	10 15 16 19 25 46
2012-06-27	8	2nd	5 15 31 34 36 42
2012-05-30	5	2nd	11 15 25 31 37 40
2012-05-12	1	3rd	1 3 15 19 25 40
2012-05-09	2	2nd	12 15 23 36 45 49
2012-05-02	2	2nd	12 15 19 23 32 40
2012-04-25	19	4th	9 10 11 15 29 34
2012-02-18	1	3rd	2 9 15 21 37 48
2012-02-15	3	1st	15 17 22 30 34 46
2012-02-04	12	3rd	5 11 15 28 29 33
2011-12-24	19	1st	15 18 19 33 37 47
2011-10-19	8	3rd	2 7 15 19 39 41
2011-09-21	8	2nd	6 15 31 32 41 48
2011-08-24	30	1st	15 19 35 36 41 43
2011-05-11	16	2nd	13 15 26 29 34 47
2011-03-16	12	3rd	3 6 15 43 48 49
2011-02-02	6	2nd	8 15 26 27 41 45
2011-01-12	28	3rd	7 13 15 26 30 33
2010-10-06	24	3rd	2 4 15 19 25 38
2010-07-14	15	3rd	4 8 15 33 36 37
2010-05-22	19	1st	15 24 25 28 29 40
2010-03-17	10	2nd	8 15 21 26 42 49
2010-02-10	6	3rd	1 13 15 18 32 35
2010-01-20	—	2nd	12 15 23 27 45 48