In Cash Pop Early Bird under the 1/15 · since Sep 2025 rules — 262 draws, 1 from 1–15.
23times drawn · chance expected 17 +1.37σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 93% for any number
11.7average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
43longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 23 times in 262 draws against 17.5 expected, +1.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 23 times in 262 draws · average wait 11.7 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.