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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Cash Pop Early Bird · every number
In Cash Pop Early Bird under the 1/15 · since Sep 2025 rules — 263 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 18 times in 263 draws against 17.5 expected, +0.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 18 times in 263 draws · average wait 13.6 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 41 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-09-09 | 5 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-09-04 | 33 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-08-02 | 3 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-30 | 9 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-21 | 2 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-19 | 8 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-11 | 7 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-07-04 | 1 | 1st |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 11 |
| 2026-07-03 | 28 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-06-05 | 14 | 1st | 11 |
| 2026-05-22 | 10 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-12-27 | 44 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-11-13 | 12 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-11-01 | 11 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-10-19 | 2 | 1st | 11 |
| 2025-10-17 | — | 1st | 11 |