In Cash Pop Early Bird under the 1/15 · since Sep 2025 rules — 261 draws, 1 from 1–15.
28times drawn · chance expected 17 +2.63σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number
9.3average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
21longest completed wait · >99% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 28 times in 261 draws against 17.4 expected, +2.63σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
3
Number 3, draw by draw
Drawn 28 times in 261 draws · average wait 9.3 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.