Megabucks Plus · every number · star deck
4
Star 4 In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2023 rules — 530 draws, 1 from 0–6.
Main numbers Stars 5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2023 5/41 + 1/0 · Apr 2022 – Apr 2023 5/41 · Apr 2010 – Apr 2022 88 times drawn · chance expected 76 +1.53σ
8 draws waiting · a wait this long: 34% for any number
5.9 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
21 longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 88 times in 530 draws against 75.7 expected, +1.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 88 times in 530 draws · average wait 5.9 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 8 draws now
8 draws: 2023-05-13 to 2023-06-10 4 draws: 2023-06-10 to 2023-06-24 5 draws: 2023-06-24 to 2023-07-12 1 draws: 2023-07-12 to 2023-07-15 1 draws: 2023-07-15 to 2023-07-19 8 draws: 2023-07-19 to 2023-08-16 15 draws: 2023-08-16 to 2023-09-30 2 draws: 2023-09-30 to 2023-10-04 6 draws: 2023-10-04 to 2023-10-18 4 draws: 2023-10-18 to 2023-10-28 7 draws: 2023-10-28 to 2023-11-13 6 draws: 2023-11-13 to 2023-11-27 2 draws: 2023-11-27 to 2023-12-02 7 draws: 2023-12-02 to 2023-12-18 3 draws: 2023-12-18 to 2023-12-25 4 draws: 2023-12-25 to 2024-01-03 3 draws: 2024-01-03 to 2024-01-10 2 draws: 2024-01-10 to 2024-01-15 7 draws: 2024-01-15 to 2024-01-31 3 draws: 2024-01-31 to 2024-02-07 2 draws: 2024-02-07 to 2024-02-12 10 draws: 2024-02-12 to 2024-03-06 2 draws: 2024-03-06 to 2024-03-11 4 draws: 2024-03-11 to 2024-03-20 5 draws: 2024-03-20 to 2024-04-01 12 draws: 2024-04-01 to 2024-04-29 4 draws: 2024-04-29 to 2024-05-08 17 draws: 2024-05-08 to 2024-06-17 1 draws: 2024-06-17 to 2024-06-19 11 draws: 2024-06-19 to 2024-07-15 18 draws: 2024-07-15 to 2024-08-26 5 draws: 2024-08-26 to 2024-09-07 2 draws: 2024-09-07 to 2024-09-11 4 draws: 2024-09-11 to 2024-09-21 6 draws: 2024-09-21 to 2024-10-05 1 draws: 2024-10-05 to 2024-10-07 3 draws: 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-14 3 draws: 2024-10-14 to 2024-10-21 6 draws: 2024-10-21 to 2024-11-04 6 draws: 2024-11-04 to 2024-11-18 11 draws: 2024-11-18 to 2024-12-14 3 draws: 2024-12-14 to 2024-12-21 3 draws: 2024-12-21 to 2024-12-28 3 draws: 2024-12-28 to 2025-01-04 1 draws: 2025-01-04 to 2025-01-06 9 draws: 2025-01-06 to 2025-01-27 7 draws: 2025-01-27 to 2025-02-12 8 draws: 2025-02-12 to 2025-03-03 21 draws: 2025-03-03 to 2025-04-21 6 draws: 2025-04-21 to 2025-05-05 8 draws: 2025-05-05 to 2025-05-24 5 draws: 2025-05-24 to 2025-06-04 18 draws: 2025-06-04 to 2025-07-16 1 draws: 2025-07-16 to 2025-07-19 6 draws: 2025-07-19 to 2025-08-02 2 draws: 2025-08-02 to 2025-08-06 3 draws: 2025-08-06 to 2025-08-13 7 draws: 2025-08-13 to 2025-08-30 14 draws: 2025-08-30 to 2025-10-01 10 draws: 2025-10-01 to 2025-10-25 14 draws: 2025-10-25 to 2025-11-26 7 draws: 2025-11-26 to 2025-12-13 10 draws: 2025-12-13 to 2026-01-05 1 draws: 2026-01-05 to 2026-01-07 2 draws: 2026-01-07 to 2026-01-12 7 draws: 2026-01-12 to 2026-01-28 4 draws: 2026-01-28 to 2026-02-07 10 draws: 2026-02-07 to 2026-03-02 14 draws: 2026-03-02 to 2026-04-04 4 draws: 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-13 3 draws: 2026-04-13 to 2026-04-20 1 draws: 2026-04-20 to 2026-04-22 1 draws: 2026-04-22 to 2026-04-25 11 draws: 2026-04-25 to 2026-05-20 5 draws: 2026-05-20 to 2026-06-01 1 draws: 2026-06-01 to 2026-06-03 4 draws: 2026-06-03 to 2026-06-13 1 draws: 2026-06-13 to 2026-06-15 8 draws: 2026-06-15 to 2026-07-04 1 draws: 2026-07-04 to 2026-07-06 2 draws: 2026-07-06 to 2026-07-11 7 draws: 2026-07-11 to 2026-07-27 14 draws: 2026-07-27 to 2026-08-29 1 draws: 2026-08-29 to 2026-08-31 12 draws: 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-28 2 draws: 2026-09-28 to 2026-10-03 3 draws: 2026-10-03 to 2026-10-10 Still waiting — at least 8 draws since 2026-10-10 2023-05-13 2023-06-10 2023-06-24 2023-07-12 2023-07-15 2023-07-19 2023-08-16 2023-09-30 2023-10-04 2023-10-18 2023-10-28 2023-11-13 2023-11-27 2023-12-02 2023-12-18 2023-12-25 2024-01-03 2024-01-10 2024-01-15 2024-01-31 2024-02-07 2024-02-12 2024-03-06 2024-03-11 2024-03-20 2024-04-01 2024-04-29 2024-05-08 2024-06-17 2024-06-19 2024-07-15 2024-08-26 2024-09-07 2024-09-11 2024-09-21 2024-10-05 2024-10-07 2024-10-14 2024-10-21 2024-11-04 2024-11-18 2024-12-14 2024-12-21 2024-12-28 2025-01-04 2025-01-06 2025-01-27 2025-02-12 2025-03-03 2025-04-21 2025-05-05 2025-05-24 2025-06-04 2025-07-16 2025-07-19 2025-08-02 2025-08-06 2025-08-13 2025-08-30 2025-10-01 2025-10-25 2025-11-26 2025-12-13 2026-01-05 2026-01-07 2026-01-12 2026-01-28 2026-02-07 2026-03-02 2026-04-04 2026-04-13 2026-04-20 2026-04-22 2026-04-25 2026-05-20 2026-06-01 2026-06-03 2026-06-13 2026-06-15 2026-07-04 2026-07-06 2026-07-11 2026-07-27 2026-08-29 2026-08-31 2026-09-28 2026-10-03 2026-10-10 2023-04-26 2026-10-28 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 10 times 3 draws: 11 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 5 times 6 draws: 7 times 7 draws: 8 times 8 draws: 5 times 9 draws: 1 time 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 0 times 14 draws: 4 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 88 · chance 88.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 6 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 3rd most popular of 7. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 3 Every number star 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/7 tonight whatever it did last week.