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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In MO Millions under the 6/42 · since Nov 2025 rules — 101 draws, 6 from 1–42.
Drawn 10 times in 101 draws against 14.4 expected, −1.26σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 10 times in 101 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 41 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 42. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/42 tonight whatever it did last week.