Wednesday, 11 November 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 27, 31) with the draw of 29 August 2018 — its closest relative in 678 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 71 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.