Number 1

In Montana Cash under the 5/45 · since May 2014 rules — 1,299 draws, 5 from 1–45.

149times drawn · chance expected 144 +0.41σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 79% for any number

8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

43longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long

1 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 149 times in 1,299 draws against 144.3 expected, +0.41σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 149 times in 1,299 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest149 · chance 149.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

8 13 17 21 23 27

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	17	1st	1 5 13 31 36
2026-08-12	19	1st	1 21 35 42 44
2026-06-06	21	1st	1 2 7 31 32
2026-03-25	15	1st	1 16 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-05-08	3	1st	1 16 33 40 41
2024-04-27	11	1st	1 10 22 33 36
2024-03-20	3	1st	1 15 18 29 40
2024-03-09	2	1st	1 9 15 19 23
2024-03-02	23	1st	1 23 28 30 34
2023-12-13	3	1st	1 8 10 25 43
2023-12-02	11	1st	1 12 13 42 43
2023-10-25	2	1st	1 5 6 26 29
2023-10-18	4	1st	1 2 20 26 40
2023-10-04	17	1st	1 8 26 27 38
2023-08-05	20	1st	1 2 9 13 38
2023-05-27	43	1st	1 20 27 32 37
2022-12-28	1	1st	1 11 12 35 41
2022-12-24	23	1st	1 13 20 24 42
2022-10-05	9	1st	1 16 19 24 25
2022-09-03	16	1st	1 3 8 21 32
2022-07-09	3	1st	1 21 23 33 35
2022-06-29	4	1st	1 6 11 18 19
2022-06-15	4	1st	1 3 11 34 39
2022-06-01	9	1st	1 3 13 40 44
2022-04-30	5	1st	1 8 14 27 42
2022-04-13	3	1st	1 22 28 33 45
2022-04-02	23	1st	1 11 21 27 28
2022-01-12	6	1st	1 6 7 21 36
2021-12-22	12	1st	1 8 15 29 33
2021-11-10	18	1st	1 18 40 43 44
2021-09-08	4	1st	1 7 9 23 28
2021-08-25	1	1st	1 16 19 31 44
2021-08-21	1	1st	1 5 13 19 25
2021-08-18	11	1st	1 8 26 29 39
2021-07-10	7	1st	1 17 21 27 28
2021-06-16	5	1st	1 13 26 27 35
2021-05-29	2	1st	1 16 37 42 45
2021-05-22	15	1st	1 8 14 23 25
2021-03-31	3	1st	1 10 29 34 45
2021-03-20	13	1st	1 6 10 12 25
2021-02-03	13	1st	1 25 29 33 36
2020-12-19	2	1st	1 22 31 34 44
2020-12-12	7	1st	1 14 17 23 31
2020-11-18	2	1st	1 15 31 34 45
2020-11-11	8	1st	1 5 7 27 31
2020-10-14	2	1st	1 8 19 42 43
2020-10-07	14	1st	1 2 4 8 13
2020-08-19	7	1st	1 9 27 35 40
2020-07-25	8	1st	1 2 3 17 45
2020-06-27	1	1st	1 10 13 14 17
2020-06-24	10	1st	1 9 20 33 45
2020-05-20	4	1st	1 20 30 42 44
2020-05-06	1	1st	1 10 23 26 43
2020-05-02	2	1st	1 8 9 29 38
2020-04-25	1	1st	1 6 9 39 42
2020-04-22	1	1st	1 2 12 21 23
2020-04-18	24	1st	1 19 24 28 41
2020-01-25	4	1st	1 13 22 36 40
2020-01-11	4	1st	1 13 23 26 41
2019-12-28	14	1st	1 2 10 21 25
2019-11-09	8	1st	1 5 8 9 43
2019-10-12	1	1st	1 17 21 27 43
2019-10-09	7	1st	1 17 22 30 41
2019-09-14	5	1st	1 3 6 27 30
2019-08-28	1	1st	1 25 30 34 44
2019-08-24	2	1st	1 3 4 13 44
2019-08-17	5	1st	1 5 34 39 41
2019-07-31	3	1st	1 4 15 23 38
2019-07-20	1	1st	1 6 31 37 43
2019-07-17	6	1st	1 8 19 20 42
2019-06-26	3	1st	1 17 18 25 42
2019-06-15	4	1st	1 2 20 26 39
2019-06-01	9	1st	1 5 16 21 24
2019-05-01	3	1st	1 12 23 24 44
2019-04-20	15	1st	1 3 15 22 41
2019-02-27	10	1st	1 20 25 27 28
2019-01-23	7	1st	1 2 13 20 21
2018-12-29	13	1st	1 4 18 21 45
2018-11-14	18	1st	1 14 23 34 36
2018-09-12	2	1st	1 3 8 10 17
2018-09-05	3	1st	1 18 30 43 45
2018-08-25	1	1st	1 17 26 27 34
2018-08-22	11	1st	1 2 21 34 40
2018-07-14	21	1st	1 13 24 39 40
2018-05-02	12	1st	1 9 17 35 41
2018-03-21	12	1st	1 5 17 31 38
2018-02-07	15	1st	1 7 23 25 38
2017-12-16	34	1st	1 17 28 34 41
2017-08-19	12	1st	1 2 16 27 43
2017-07-08	5	1st	1 8 22 27 37
2017-06-21	10	1st	1 11 16 21 40
2017-05-17	2	1st	1 12 14 24 29
2017-05-10	6	1st	1 13 26 30 35
2017-04-19	2	1st	1 8 11 12 13
2017-04-12	2	1st	1 11 13 28 44
2017-04-05	1	1st	1 3 5 23 31
2017-04-01	2	1st	1 2 20 27 34
2017-03-25	28	1st	1 17 32 34 45
2016-12-17	16	1st	1 11 26 30 33
2016-10-22	10	1st	1 5 6 10 36
2016-09-17	18	1st	1 11 24 33 41
2016-07-16	6	1st	1 9 15 29 43
2016-06-25	12	1st	1 6 11 19 40
2016-05-14	4	1st	1 10 17 22 33
2016-04-30	6	1st	1 2 19 30 44
2016-04-09	43	1st	1 4 22 29 31
2015-11-11	19	1st	1 6 9 21 25
2015-09-05	2	1st	1 23 30 37 38
2015-08-29	4	1st	1 4 17 24 26
2015-08-15	14	1st	1 5 24 30 44
2015-06-27	18	1st	1 6 7 11 42
2015-04-25	3	1st	1 3 8 18 37
2015-04-15	17	1st	1 10 20 24 35
2015-02-14	7	1st	1 19 21 23 44
2015-01-21	1	1st	1 8 36 38 41
2015-01-17	8	1st	1 20 26 39 40
2014-12-20	5	1st	1 4 21 23 40
2014-12-03	11	1st	1 10 15 22 41
2014-10-25	4	1st	1 3 8 17 40
2014-10-11	1	1st	1 6 34 43 45
2014-10-08	6	1st	1 12 16 23 26
2014-09-17	1	1st	1 10 12 27 38
2014-09-13	7	1st	1 16 28 38 40
2014-08-20	3	1st	1 3 24 29 33
2014-08-09	17	1st	1 6 20 29 31
2014-06-11	4	1st	1 19 31 37 41
2014-05-28	3	1st	1 10 13 28 31
2014-05-17	1	1st	1 21 34 38 42
2014-05-14	—	1st	1 18 22 44 45