Monday, 4 February 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (33, 39) with the draw of 20 January 2019 — its closest relative in 92 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 February 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 48% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 150 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 110. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38, 38–39. 40% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.