Number 4

In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Sep 2025 rules — 260 draws, 1 from 1–15.

15times drawn · chance expected 17 −0.58σ

15draws waiting · a wait this long: 38% for any number

17.1average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0

38longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 260 draws against 17.3 expected, −0.58σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 260 draws · average wait 17.1 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 15 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest15 · chance 15.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

No shared draws yet.

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	15	1st	4
2026-09-22	4	1st	4
2026-09-18	22	1st	4
2026-08-27	8	1st	4
2026-08-19	38	1st	4
2026-07-12	9	1st	4
2026-07-03	31	1st	4
2026-06-02	11	1st	4
2026-05-22	12	1st	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.