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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · NE · ball game
Latest drawThursday, 22 October 2026
Jackpot$70,000
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 23 Oct 2026, 04:41 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–40. 5,330 draws held here since 2010-04-07 — 1,163 under the current rules.
Pick 5 changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 1,163 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Pick 5 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Pick 5 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,163 draws every number is expected about 145 times, and a ball favoured by more than 32% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 24 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 103, give or take 24. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

42.7% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

780 possible pairs, each expected together 14.9 times so far — and about 8 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 40 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

51% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 64.2% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.8 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 33 draws for every one of the 40 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

658,008 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,163 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 34. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/40 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/40 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-40 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,162 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 33, 36) with the draw of 15 October 2026 — its closest relative in 1,162 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 October 2026): 34 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 23 Oct 2026, 04:41 UTC.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,162 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 4 | 5.5 |
| 3–5 | 2 | 4.3 |
| 6–8 | 6 | 3.4 |
| 9–11 | 3 | 2.6 |
| 12–14 | 2 | 2.0 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 1.6 |
| 18–20 | 2 | 1.2 |
| 21–23 | 3 | 1.0 |
| 24–26 | 1 | 0.7 |
| 27–29 | 0 | 0.6 |
| 30+ | 1 | 2.1 |
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 17, 30) with the draw of 12 April 2026 — its closest relative in 1,161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 October 2026): 30, 34 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,160 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 30, 35) with the draw of 9 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,160 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 October 2026): 7 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,159 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 26, 37) with the draw of 25 March 2024 — its closest relative in 1,159 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 73 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,158 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 21, 31) with the draw of 23 March 2026 — its closest relative in 1,158 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,157 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 23, 26) with the draw of 28 April 2025 — its closest relative in 1,157 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 122 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 145 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,156 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 21, 35, 37) with the draw of 24 November 2025 — its closest relative in 1,156 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,155 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 31, 38) with the draw of 25 November 2025 — its closest relative in 1,155 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 157 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,154 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 7, 9, 10) with the draw of 22 June 2026 — its closest relative in 1,154 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 45 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,153 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 21, 30, 37) with the draw of 31 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,153 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 27% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,152 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 10, 20) with the draw of 27 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,152 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2026): 3 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 55 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,151 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 11, 27) with the draw of 11 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,151 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 76 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →