Saturday, 1 August 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 19, 22, 24) with the draw of 12 July 2010 — its closest relative in 1,661 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 74 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.