Thursday, 10 July 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 21, 23) with the draw of 16 December 2024 — its closest relative in 693 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2025): 21 carried over. Chance says 51% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 87 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 103. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.