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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Powerball · every number

25

Number 25

In Powerball under the 5/53 + 1/42 · Oct 2002 – Aug 2005 rules — 302 draws, 5 from 1–53 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 20155/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 20155/59 + 1/39 · Jan 2009 – Jan 20125/55 + 1/42 · Aug 2005 – Jan 20095/53 + 1/42 · Oct 2002 – Aug 20055/49 + 1/42 · Nov 1997 – Oct 20025/45 + 1/45 · Apr 1992 – Nov 1997
26times drawn · chance expected 28 −0.49σ
15draws waiting · a wait this long: 25% for any number
11.3average wait between appearances · chance says 10.6
30longest completed wait · 77% chance of one at least that long
25 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 26 times in 302 draws against 28.5 expected, −0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

25

Number 25, draw by draw

Drawn 26 times in 302 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 15 draws now

11 draws: 2002-10-19 to 2002-11-2730 draws: 2002-11-27 to 2003-03-125 draws: 2003-03-12 to 2003-03-295 draws: 2003-03-29 to 2003-04-1623 draws: 2003-04-16 to 2003-07-0510 draws: 2003-07-05 to 2003-08-0917 draws: 2003-08-09 to 2003-10-083 draws: 2003-10-08 to 2003-10-181 draws: 2003-10-18 to 2003-10-2215 draws: 2003-10-22 to 2003-12-132 draws: 2003-12-13 to 2003-12-2013 draws: 2003-12-20 to 2004-02-043 draws: 2004-02-04 to 2004-02-144 draws: 2004-02-14 to 2004-02-2819 draws: 2004-02-28 to 2004-05-0518 draws: 2004-05-05 to 2004-07-0717 draws: 2004-07-07 to 2004-09-042 draws: 2004-09-04 to 2004-09-114 draws: 2004-09-11 to 2004-09-2515 draws: 2004-09-25 to 2004-11-179 draws: 2004-11-17 to 2004-12-1817 draws: 2004-12-18 to 2005-02-168 draws: 2005-02-16 to 2005-03-1616 draws: 2005-03-16 to 2005-05-1116 draws: 2005-05-11 to 2005-07-06Still waiting — at least 15 draws since 2005-07-062002-10-192002-11-272003-03-122003-03-292003-04-162003-07-052003-08-092003-10-082003-10-182003-10-222003-12-132003-12-202004-02-042004-02-142004-02-282004-05-052004-07-072004-09-042004-09-112004-09-252004-11-172004-12-182005-02-162005-03-162005-05-112005-07-062002-10-092005-08-27

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 1 time2 draws: 2 times3 draws: 2 times4 draws: 2 times5 draws: 2 times6 draws: 0 times7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 1 time9 draws: 1 time10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 1 time14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 2 times17 draws: 3 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 1 time31 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest1 · chance 2.0
  • 2nd smallest10 · chance 7.6
  • 3rd smallest9 · chance 10.0
  • 4th smallest5 · chance 5.4
  • 5th smallest1 · chance 1.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

48172641461

Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 52 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 53. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2005-07-06163rd212253048
2005-05-11162nd525464849
2005-03-1683rd1119253850
2005-02-16172nd2125
← number 24Every numbernumber 26 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 5/53 tonight whatever it did last week.

27
41
48
2004-12-1892nd125293045
2004-11-17152nd1525313646
2004-09-2542nd1125404148
2004-09-1121st2534364649
2004-09-04173rd1315252646
2004-07-07182nd1825303441
2004-05-05194th916212532
2004-02-2842nd625265253
2004-02-1433rd1024253543
2004-02-04134th712172532
2003-12-2024th1220242548
2003-12-13153rd1719252644
2003-10-2212nd325272853
2003-10-1832nd2225333435
2003-10-08175th167825
2003-08-09103rd1823252640
2003-07-05233rd517253749
2003-04-1652nd425394150
2003-03-2954th29172536
2003-03-12303rd524254452
The other 2 appearances
2002-11-27113rd120254053
2002-10-19—4th418202542