Number 15

In Powerball Double Play under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Aug 2021 rules — 809 draws, 5 from 1–69.

70times drawn · chance expected 59 +1.54σ

19draws waiting · a wait this long: 26% for any number

11.3average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8

51longest completed wait · 80% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 70 times in 809 draws against 58.6 expected, +1.54σ. Each draw is independent: after 19 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 70 times in 809 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 19 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest28 · chance 27.2
2nd smallest33 · chance 29.8
3rd smallest9 · chance 11.2
4th smallest0 · chance 1.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

39 21 28 22 36 56

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 68 numbers; chance expected about 1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-07	1	1st	15 19 28 39 56
2026-09-05	8	1st	15 40 47 53 59
2026-08-17	6	2nd	8 15 25 49 65
2026-08-03	6	2nd	11 15

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-12-30	6	1st	15 34 52 56 57
2024-12-16	31	3rd	2 7 15 21 56
2024-10-05	10	1st	15 16 27 30 57
2024-09-11	40	3rd	6 9 15 17 20
2024-06-10	10	2nd	9 15 27 32 65
2024-05-18	7	1st	15 17 28 36 60
2024-05-01	4	2nd	6 15 19 42 45
2024-04-22	9	2nd	11 15 25 32 39
2024-04-01	9	2nd	12 15 28 30 39
2024-03-11	13	1st	15 25 35 41 62
2024-02-10	4	2nd	12 15 32 50 64
2024-01-31	31	2nd	13 15 18 21 58
2023-11-20	2	1st	15 21 39 45 52
2023-11-15	5	2nd	14 15 30 58 59
2023-11-04	8	2nd	5 15 22 47 66
2023-10-16	26	3rd	1 2 15 17 34
2023-08-16	7	1st	15 22 44 49 63
2023-07-31	5	1st	15 32 33 34 35
2023-07-19	7	2nd	13 15 28 43 57
2023-07-03	5	1st	15 37 50 55 69
2023-06-21	1	1st	15 18 23 45 48
2023-06-19	3	2nd	14 15 39 57 69
2023-06-12	5	2nd	9 15 22 54 64
2023-05-31	20	1st	15 36 61 66 68
2023-04-15	3	3rd	4 6 15 19 28
2023-04-08	31	1st	15 26 44 49 51
2023-01-25	1	1st	15 32 35 42 47
2023-01-23	9	2nd	6 15 31 45 58
2023-01-02	12	3rd	11 12 15 33 39
2022-12-05	11	1st	15 50 51 53 68
2022-11-09	19	2nd	4 15 31 52 62
2022-09-26	1	2nd	7 15 39 54 59
2022-09-24	4	1st	15 30 38 46 66
2022-09-14	5	1st	15 16 17 23 29
2022-09-03	1	3rd	4 9 15 33 46
2022-08-31	6	2nd	7 15 21 41 56
2022-08-17	51	1st	15 16 36 53 61
2022-04-20	12	2nd	4 15 16 21 52
2022-03-23	3	1st	15 18 24 26 62
2022-03-16	14	1st	15 22 48 50 67
2022-02-12	21	3rd	4 6 15 53 61
2021-12-25	8	2nd	1 15 28 48 51
2021-12-06	12	2nd	8 15 27 55 66
2021-11-08	3	3rd	5 6 15 22 51
2021-11-01	21	1st	15 37 43 44 50
2021-09-13	—	1st	15 29 32 35 56