Number 15

In Palmetto Cash 5 under the 5/38 · Apr 2010 – Mar 2024 rules — 2,502 draws, 5 from 1–38 (an earlier era).

338times drawn · chance expected 329 +0.52σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 32% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.6

36longest completed wait · 91% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 338 times in 2,502 draws against 329.2 expected, +0.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 338 times in 2,502 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest40 · chance 45.3
2nd smallest146 · chance 126.9
3rd smallest100 · chance 117.8
4th smallest47 · chance 42.8
5th smallest5 · chance 5.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 36.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 32 27 37 18 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 37 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2024-03-08	9	4th	2 7 8 15 27
2024-02-28	4	2nd	3 15 21 28 29
2024-02-24	3	1st	15 17 21 36 37
2024-02-21	31	2nd	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/38 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-08-08	7	3rd	1 10 15 21 38
2023-08-01	4	1st	15 16 19 24 33
2023-07-28	5	1st	15 19 24 30 33
2023-07-23	4	2nd	8 15 27 33 36
2023-07-19	3	2nd	13 15 19 23 30
2023-07-16	19	3rd	4 14 15 25 36
2023-06-27	14	2nd	14 15 22 26 38
2023-06-13	1	4th	3 4 7 15 24
2023-06-12	10	3rd	1 8 15 18 37
2023-06-02	6	2nd	11 15 17 22 31
2023-05-27	2	2nd	1 15 16 18 25
2023-05-25	2	3rd	13 14 15 29 38
2023-05-23	3	4th	1 5 14 15 25
2023-05-20	6	3rd	8 12 15 22 37
2023-05-14	2	2nd	1 15 27 30 32
2023-05-12	4	3rd	3 4 15 33 35
2023-05-08	18	3rd	8 12 15 19 27
2023-04-20	3	1st	15 16 20 34 37
2023-04-17	6	2nd	8 15 23 24 36
2023-04-11	5	2nd	14 15 26 32 38
2023-04-06	1	2nd	5 15 33 34 35
2023-04-05	5	3rd	2 6 15 26 29
2023-03-31	9	3rd	7 12 15 17 24
2023-03-22	1	4th	7 10 12 15 32
2023-03-21	6	5th	1 2 6 7 15
2023-03-15	14	3rd	1 5 15 27 29
2023-03-01	11	2nd	6 15 18 19 37
2023-02-18	14	3rd	13 14 15 22 34
2023-02-04	1	2nd	4 15 16 18 26
2023-02-03	3	3rd	4 13 15 27 33
2023-01-31	6	3rd	1 13 15 22 34
2023-01-25	5	2nd	12 15 21 30 32
2023-01-20	14	1st	15 16 20 27 34
2023-01-06	1	4th	3 9 14 15 18
2023-01-05	9	3rd	4 10 15 26 28
2015-12-27	15	4th	1 3 11 15 35
2015-12-12	5	3rd	3 10 15 18 37
2015-12-07	9	3rd	2 14 15 20 21
2015-11-28	2	4th	1 2 14 15 38
2015-11-26	12	3rd	1 3 15 36 38
2015-11-14	3	2nd	5 15 18 19 27
2015-11-11	9	2nd	4 15 25 26 31
2015-11-02	6	3rd	6 11 15 21 28
2015-10-27	8	2nd	3 15 17 25 34
2015-10-19	9	2nd	7 15 16 21 24
2015-10-10	10	4th	6 9 14 15 37
2015-09-30	2	2nd	1 15 16 21 38
2015-09-28	16	3rd	5 13 15 22 27
2015-09-12	4	4th	2 4 6 15 22
2015-09-08	1	3rd	2 11 15 18 37
2015-09-07	4	3rd	3 9 15 27 37
2015-09-03	7	2nd	8 15 17 23 38
2015-08-27	4	3rd	5 9 15 17 31
2015-08-23	10	3rd	10 12 15 33 36
2015-08-13	2	1st	15 17 20 23 33
2015-08-11	3	4th	4 5 14 15 32
2015-08-08	3	3rd	6 12 15 29 36
2015-08-05	13	4th	2 4 6 15 37
2015-07-23	1	2nd	5 15 16 29 30
2015-07-22	5	3rd	7 11 15 21 37
2015-07-17	4	2nd	9 15 35 36 37
2015-07-13	6	2nd	10 15 20 32 34
2015-07-07	10	3rd	1 10 15 25 37
2015-06-27	15	2nd	7 15 22 23 37
2015-06-12	12	2nd	13 15 17 28 36
2015-05-31	5	1st	15 22 24 26 28
2015-05-26	11	3rd	7 8 15 20 38
2015-05-15	16	3rd	2 5 15 27 33
2015-04-29	14	3rd	1 6 15 16 38
2015-04-15	20	2nd	12 15 20 30 32
2015-03-26	2	2nd	7 15 16 36 37
2015-03-24	8	2nd	6 15 17 28 33
2015-03-16	1	4th	5 12 14 15 21
2015-03-15	14	2nd	4 15 17 28 37
2015-03-01	5	2nd	14 15 19 30 33
2015-02-24	4	3rd	7 13 15 25 35
2015-02-20	11	2nd	6 15 23 26 29
2015-02-09	2	2nd	8 15 17 26 38
2015-02-07	2	3rd	6 8 15 27 28
2015-02-05	10	1st	15 19 22 26 28
2015-01-26	10	3rd	1 2 15 34 37
2015-01-16	2	1st	15 18 27 36 37
2015-01-14	7	2nd	6 15 16 25 32
2015-01-07	8	3rd	8 13 15 17 30
2014-12-30	18	2nd	14 15 20 35 38
2014-12-12	11	1st	15 26 30 33 36
2014-12-01	9	1st	15 18 23 33 38
2014-11-22	8	2nd	9 15 32 33 36
2014-11-14	5	3rd	11 13 15 18 36
2014-11-09	11	3rd	5 11 15 22 36
2014-10-29	5	3rd	4 12 15 31 35
2014-10-24	4	3rd	5 6 15 21 23
2014-10-20	16	2nd	14 15 24 26 35
2014-10-04	4	3rd	6 8 15 25 30
2014-09-30	5	2nd	2 15 20 35 38
2014-09-25	9	2nd	9 15 16 21 34
2014-09-16	1	4th	3 5 10 15 22
2014-09-15	1	2nd	4 15 18 19 27
2014-09-14	20	4th	4 9 13 15 16
2014-08-25	25	2nd	13 15 23 35 36
2014-07-31	3	4th	8 9 13 15 25
2014-07-28	20	2nd	7 15 21 27 32
2014-07-08	4	3rd	6 13 15 25 27
2014-07-04	22	1st	15 16 22 28 38
2014-06-12	4	2nd	8 15 19 27 30
2014-06-08	10	3rd	4 13 15 21 35
2014-05-29	2	2nd	2 15 27 29 35
2014-05-27	3	2nd	8 15 22 28 31
2014-05-24	16	3rd	7 12 15 18 36
2014-05-08	36	4th	2 5 13 15 21
2014-04-02	4	2nd	4 15 25 33 36
2014-03-29	16	3rd	6 11 15 22 32
2014-03-13	10	4th	2 11 14 15 18
2014-03-03	13	4th	5 6 9 15 35
2014-02-18	11	4th	9 10 14 15 38
2014-02-07	13	3rd	5 10 15 17 26
2014-01-25	2	1st	15 21 22 24 38
2014-01-23	4	2nd	3 15 22 25 36
2014-01-19	2	1st	15 20 21 23 29
2014-01-17	6	2nd	10 15 20 23 38
2014-01-11	4	3rd	6 9 15 20 26
2014-01-07	8	2nd	3 15 20 24 37
2013-12-30	16	3rd	5 9 15 32 38
2013-12-14	4	2nd	9 15 17 30 38
2013-12-10	1	3rd	4 8 15 19 25
2013-12-09	11	3rd	1 2 15 32 34
2013-11-28	2	2nd	2 15 30 32 38
2013-11-26	1	2nd	9 15 30 33 37
2013-11-25	1	2nd	13 15 22 24 35
2013-11-24	10	3rd	1 14 15 16 21
2013-11-14	7	3rd	5 7 15 18 30
2013-11-07	7	2nd	10 15 18 26 32
2013-10-31	3	3rd	1 9 15 20 26
2013-10-28	1	2nd	3 15 23 26 35
2013-10-27	3	2nd	7 15 19 21 32
2013-10-24	1	4th	2 4 13 15 29
2013-10-23	4	2nd	13 15 25 27 33
2013-10-19	26	2nd	6 15 24 26 33
2013-09-23	1	2nd	3 15 28 29 32
2013-09-22	14	2nd	5 15 27 34 38
2013-09-08	8	2nd	5 15 24 30 34
2013-08-31	6	2nd	8 15 18 22 27
2013-08-25	1	1st	15 16 26 31 35
2013-08-24	3	2nd	13 15 18 20 32
2013-08-21	18	2nd	6 15 20 25 32
2013-08-03	8	2nd	13 15 19 24 26
2013-07-26	4	2nd	13 15 21 29 37
2013-07-22	1	4th	1 2 9 15 31
2013-07-21	1	2nd	7 15 16 20 28
2013-07-20	4	3rd	7 8 15 26 30
2013-07-16	6	1st	15 22 31 33 35
2013-07-10	9	2nd	8 15 23 28 32
2013-07-01	2	3rd	1 3 15 29 36
2013-06-29	3	3rd	3 5 15 23 29
2013-06-26	8	4th	4 9 10 15 31
2013-06-18	5	3rd	5 12 15 26 27
2013-06-13	3	3rd	3 10 15 29 32
2013-06-10	22	1st	15 18 24 27 29
2013-05-19	6	2nd	11 15 28 29 38
2013-05-13	1	1st	15 21 22 25 33
2013-05-12	2	3rd	4 14 15 30 32
2013-05-10	1	2nd	4 15 21 30 33
2013-05-09	5	3rd	10 12 15 19 27
2013-05-04	16	2nd	10 15 27 29 31
2013-04-18	2	2nd	2 15 22 33 34
2013-04-16	4	3rd	3 13 15 23 36
2013-04-12	1	2nd	4 15 21 26 35
2013-04-11	3	3rd	9 12 15 31 38
2013-04-08	7	1st	15 16 20 25 35
2013-04-01	7	1st	15 16 19 26 28
2013-03-25	9	4th	4 5 9 15 33
2013-03-16	9	4th	5 8 12 15 16
2013-03-07	9	3rd	4 5 15 16 28
2013-02-26	6	2nd	5 15 18 19 21
2013-02-20	2	3rd	6 7 15 23 25
2013-02-18	10	1st	15 16 22 30 37
2013-02-08	16	3rd	2 13 15 19 35
2013-01-23	2	2nd	10 15 28 30 37
2013-01-21	2	2nd	12 15 18 23 28
2013-01-19	3	3rd	1 3 15 20 31
2013-01-16	5	2nd	8 15 23 27 33
2013-01-11	11	2nd	1 15 26 32 36
2012-12-31	7	2nd	7 15 25 28 37
2012-12-24	8	2nd	2 15 22 34 37
2012-12-16	7	3rd	6 14 15 26 29
2012-12-09	5	2nd	4 15 25 27 28
2012-12-04	1	2nd	7 15 16 25 35
2012-12-03	7	1st	15 18 23 27 30
2012-11-26	9	2nd	12 15 16 34 38
2012-11-17	6	2nd	1 15 16 21 33
2012-11-11	19	2nd	14 15 24 32 34
2012-10-23	18	1st	15 21 29 34 35
2012-10-05	8	2nd	8 15 18 28 36
2012-09-27	11	2nd	8 15 29 30 38
2012-09-16	7	3rd	9 13 15 26 27
2012-09-09	19	3rd	2 8 15 28 35
2012-08-21	3	4th	8 9 13 15 32
2012-08-18	2	4th	10 11 13 15 30
2012-08-16	2	1st	15 23 29 31 36
2012-08-14	8	2nd	7 15 33 36 37
2012-08-06	1	4th	9 12 14 15 34
2012-08-05	7	2nd	14 15 29 32 36
2012-07-29	2	3rd	1 13 15 19 33
2012-07-27	14	4th	3 6 9 15 36
2012-07-13	23	2nd	6 15 17 27 33
2012-06-20	3	3rd	2 13 15 17 22
2012-06-17	4	3rd	11 14 15 25 32
2012-06-13	6	3rd	11 12 15 37 38
2012-06-07	5	4th	1 10 11 15 32
2012-06-02	5	3rd	12 14 15 23 30
2012-05-28	13	3rd	4 6 15 19 30
2012-05-15	4	3rd	1 8 15 16 37
2012-05-11	1	2nd	4 15 17 25 32
2012-05-10	23	3rd	7 8 15 22 25
2012-04-17	2	4th	2 4 8 15 33
2012-04-15	6	2nd	4 15 18 25 30
2012-04-09	3	4th	8 11 13 15 37
2012-04-06	2	4th	4 9 13 15 27
2012-04-04	3	2nd	12 15 24 27 29
2012-04-01	12	1st	15 21 26 32 37
2012-03-20	2	2nd	8 15 27 28 31
2012-03-18	8	2nd	8 15 18 24 33
2012-03-10	2	2nd	2 15 23 26 34
2012-03-08	1	4th	7 11 14 15 20
2012-03-07	8	2nd	9 15 17 21 27
2012-02-28	4	2nd	9 15 16 34 35
2012-02-24	20	3rd	2 7 15 20 29
2012-02-04	15	3rd	8 13 15 33 34
2012-01-20	7	1st	15 17 23 32 37
2012-01-13	1	3rd	8 13 15 25 36
2012-01-12	4	1st	15 18 24 28 37
2012-01-08	30	2nd	4 15 19 24 37
2011-12-09	6	2nd	12 15 17 22 34
2011-12-03	8	2nd	14 15 21 25 34
2011-11-25	14	2nd	5 15 17 18 26
2011-11-11	6	3rd	9 14 15 33 38
2011-11-05	2	3rd	1 11 15 30 34
2011-11-03	2	2nd	1 15 18 26 36
2011-11-01	16	2nd	5 15 26 32 35
2011-10-16	16	3rd	7 12 15 22 33
2011-09-30	3	2nd	12 15 27 31 32
2011-09-27	6	1st	15 18 33 34 37
2011-09-21	1	2nd	6 15 27 36 38
2011-09-20	1	2nd	1 15 27 32 33
2011-09-19	1	2nd	1 15 27 28 33
2011-09-18	5	3rd	10 13 15 24 31
2011-09-13	3	5th	3 7 9 12 15
2011-09-10	16	1st	15 18 21 22 24
2011-08-25	2	2nd	4 15 18 19 38
2011-08-23	1	2nd	2 15 24 30 35
2011-08-22	7	2nd	5 15 17 25 29
2011-08-15	4	3rd	2 7 15 28 34
2011-08-11	1	2nd	3 15 25 29 30
2011-08-10	5	2nd	11 15 22 25 35
2011-08-05	8	2nd	2 15 23 36 37
2011-07-28	14	5th	2 10 11 12 15
2011-07-14	8	3rd	4 7 15 16 18
2011-07-06	1	3rd	6 10 15 16 17
2011-07-05	10	2nd	8 15 17 29 31
2011-06-25	2	2nd	8 15 24 29 32
2011-06-23	4	3rd	3 11 15 18 27
2011-06-19	1	2nd	11 15 22 23 29
2011-06-18	5	4th	7 9 10 15 37
2011-06-13	5	2nd	12 15 19 24 33
2011-06-08	6	1st	15 19 26 36 37
2011-06-02	1	2nd	11 15 24 36 38
2011-06-01	15	4th	5 7 8 15 19
2011-05-17	26	3rd	1 4 15 19 31
2011-04-21	8	1st	15 19 21 23 32
2011-04-13	34	3rd	2 7 15 16 19
2011-03-10	15	2nd	9 15 21 27 38
2011-02-23	1	2nd	6 15 17 36 37
2011-02-22	1	2nd	9 15 24 26 33
2011-02-21	1	2nd	13 15 24 29 35
2011-02-20	1	2nd	9 15 33 34 35
2011-02-19	2	4th	4 10 12 15 24
2011-02-17	15	3rd	12 13 15 23 29
2011-02-02	4	3rd	12 14 15 17 36
2011-01-29	11	3rd	5 11 15 18 22
2011-01-18	2	3rd	9 10 15 27 38
2011-01-16	20	2nd	5 15 18 22 25
2010-12-27	6	4th	7 8 14 15 27
2010-12-21	3	1st	15 18 30 32 36
2010-12-18	13	4th	3 5 10 15 22
2010-12-05	1	1st	15 25 32 34 36
2010-12-04	1	5th	3 4 5 6 15
2010-12-03	2	2nd	5 15 22 23 32
2010-12-01	4	4th	5 8 12 15 34
2010-11-26	6	3rd	11 12 15 19 21
2010-11-19	1	1st	15 20 21 22 28
2010-11-18	1	2nd	7 15 32 34 35
2010-11-17	8	4th	6 12 14 15 19
2010-11-08	2	4th	1 10 13 15 29
2010-11-05	14	1st	15 18 27 34 38
2010-10-20	6	3rd	4 12 15 25 26
2010-10-13	1	2nd	1 15 16 23 33
2010-10-12	18	2nd	10 15 18 19 21
2010-09-21	5	1st	15 19 29 30 33
2010-09-15	2	2nd	12 15 28 33 38
2010-09-13	21	2nd	8 15 27 29 32
2010-08-19	5	2nd	2 15 22 26 33
2010-08-13	3	1st	15 18 20 23 29
2010-08-10	4	4th	1 3 8 15 37
2010-08-05	12	2nd	11 15 23 28 30
2010-07-22	4	1st	15 19 21 22 32
2010-07-17	6	4th	3 8 14 15 35
2010-07-10	4	2nd	1 15 23 26 34
2010-07-06	7	3rd	1 2 15 18 25
2010-06-28	13	3rd	5 13 15 18 23
2010-06-12	13	2nd	1 15 19 36 37
2010-05-28	15	1st	15 17 27 36 37
2010-05-11	3	2nd	7 15 33 37 38
2010-05-07	11	3rd	3 14 15 19 22
2010-04-24	—	2nd	12 15 22 24 33