Wednesday, 9 August 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 14, 15, 20) with the draw of 15 September 2010 — its closest relative in 766 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 30% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2017): 10 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 92 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.