Number 15

In Dakota Cash under the 5/35 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,727 draws, 5 from 1–35.

254times drawn · chance expected 247 +0.50σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 21% for any number

6.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

51longest completed wait · 11% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 254 times in 1,727 draws against 246.7 expected, +0.50σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 254 times in 1,727 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest23 · chance 26.5
2nd smallest105 · chance 87.4
3rd smallest92 · chance 94.7
4th smallest30 · chance 39.9
5th smallest4 · chance 5.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 29.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 29 1 14 19 20

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-12	1	2nd	14 15 22 23 35
2026-09-09	23	4th	3 12 14 15 17
2026-06-20	9	3rd	2 9 15 27 34
2026-05-20	7	3rd	5 9 15 20 30
2026-04-25	5	3rd	7 14 15 17 19
2026-04-08	1	2nd	2 15 19 27 29
2026-04-04	14	2nd	6 15 23 25 34
2026-02-14	7	3rd	4 14 15 17 23
2026-01-21	7	2nd	11 15 25 27 32
2025-12-27	2	3rd	8 14 15 20 30
2025-12-20	16	2nd	4 15 17 23 35
2025-10-25	16	2nd	13 15 22 23 35
2025-08-30	8	3rd	1 6 15 25 26
2025-08-02	4	3rd	10 14 15 16 21
2025-07-19	2	3rd	6 8 15 30 32
2025-07-12	6	3rd	5 14 15 19 20
2025-06-21	1	3rd	9 13 15 29 34
2025-06-18	3	2nd	8 15 23 25 28
2025-06-07	20	2nd	14 15 17 24 29
2025-03-29	3	2nd	3 15 20 26 30
2025-03-19	1	2nd	7 15 22 25 26
2025-03-15	19	3rd	4 5 15 29 33
2025-01-08	15	2nd	5 15 25 26 33
2024-11-16	5	3rd	1 11 15 16 20

The other 230 appearances

2024-10-30	9	2nd	14 15 21 25 26
2024-09-28	1	3rd	5 12 15 22 26
2024-09-25	2	1st	15 20 24 25 29
2024-09-18	2	2nd	3 15 23 25 29
2024-09-11	14	2nd	1 15 17 21 25
2024-07-24	9	2nd	2 15 31 32 34
2024-06-22	10	1st	15 20 25 27 33
2024-05-18	14	4th	5 7 11 15 28
2024-03-30	4	2nd	1 15 19 30 34
2024-03-16	2	2nd	2 15 17 21 24
2024-03-09	12	3rd	11 13 15 19 24
2024-01-27	3	3rd	3 6 15 22 30
2024-01-17	1	2nd	3 15 17 24 33
2024-01-13	4	1st	15 23 29 30 35
2023-12-30	1	2nd	1 15 17 21 22
2023-12-27	11	3rd	11 14 15 19 34
2023-11-18	8	4th	2 7 14 15 28
2023-10-21	15	2nd	9 15 22 23 29
2023-08-30	6	4th	1 5 9 15 23
2023-08-09	4	2nd	13 15 25 27 29
2023-07-26	4	3rd	1 6 15 30 33
2023-07-12	2	3rd	3 10 15 27 28
2023-07-05	28	2nd	4 15 22 30 31
2023-03-29	4	2nd	2 15 16 19 21
2023-03-15	1	1st	15 22 28 33 34
2023-03-11	11	2nd	6 15 17 28 32
2023-02-01	1	3rd	1 9 15 24 25
2023-01-28	1	3rd	7 8 15 16 18
2023-01-25	8	3rd	6 11 15 22 34
2022-12-28	13	4th	2 7 9 15 22
2022-11-12	6	1st	15 19 22 27 33
2022-10-22	1	4th	6 7 14 15 20
2022-10-19	8	3rd	1 9 15 23 30
2022-09-21	1	2nd	9 15 19 20 31
2022-09-17	6	2nd	8 15 25 27 35
2022-08-27	8	2nd	3 15 17 20 34
2022-07-30	7	3rd	8 14 15 20 31
2022-07-06	5	2nd	7 15 20 29 35
2022-06-18	8	2nd	4 15 25 30 31
2022-05-21	13	3rd	5 11 15 16 18
2022-04-06	1	3rd	4 11 15 20 33
2022-04-02	5	3rd	2 4 15 21 33
2022-03-16	1	3rd	11 13 15 17 25
2022-03-12	6	3rd	5 6 15 31 33
2022-02-19	12	3rd	1 4 15 23 26
2022-01-08	16	2nd	5 15 27 28 32
2021-11-13	2	1st	15 18 22 25 31
2021-11-06	8	2nd	13 15 18 20 35
2021-10-09	8	4th	1 10 11 15 18
2021-09-11	5	2nd	4 15 16 26 28
2021-08-25	4	3rd	4 6 15 27 31
2021-08-11	1	3rd	3 6 15 18 28
2021-08-07	1	1st	15 22 24 25 33
2021-08-04	7	2nd	4 15 16 17 23
2021-07-10	2	4th	4 6 14 15 32
2021-07-03	3	3rd	2 5 15 16 20
2021-06-23	10	2nd	8 15 19 29 35
2021-05-19	21	3rd	8 14 15 21 34
2021-03-06	14	4th	3 10 11 15 35
2021-01-16	2	2nd	4 15 18 22 34
2021-01-09	2	2nd	5 15 17 23 24
2021-01-02	1	2nd	10 15 18 20 28
2020-12-30	6	3rd	1 2 15 16 35
2020-12-09	6	3rd	5 6 15 16 32
2020-11-18	5	2nd	6 15 18 23 25
2020-10-31	30	2nd	5 15 18 29 34
2020-07-18	19	2nd	9 15 17 22 33
2020-05-13	6	3rd	6 9 15 21 26
2020-04-22	10	3rd	11 14 15 32 33
2020-03-18	16	3rd	1 14 15 25 28
2020-01-22	9	3rd	2 4 15 17 19
2019-12-21	1	2nd	6 15 19 25 29
2019-12-18	1	2nd	10 15 24 31 32
2019-12-14	4	2nd	8 15 19 26 30
2019-11-30	1	1st	15 19 29 33 35
2019-11-27	9	2nd	5 15 18 28 29
2019-10-26	4	2nd	3 15 16 20 29
2019-10-12	1	3rd	3 12 15 30 33
2019-10-09	7	3rd	1 13 15 20 24
2019-09-14	3	2nd	12 15 22 24 26
2019-09-04	7	4th	6 8 12 15 25
2019-08-10	10	4th	5 10 12 15 22
2019-07-06	3	2nd	10 15 17 30 33
2019-06-26	14	3rd	4 14 15 19 33
2019-05-08	1	2nd	9 15 18 32 34
2019-05-04	1	1st	15 16 21 25 26
2019-05-01	3	2nd	10 15 30 33 34
2019-04-20	7	1st	15 21 23 25 29
2019-03-27	16	3rd	9 14 15 27 35
2019-01-30	11	3rd	3 4 15 19 34
2018-12-22	3	2nd	8 15 25 31 34
2018-12-12	1	5th	1 2 4 11 15
2018-12-08	6	1st	15 26 27 29 31
2018-11-17	5	4th	3 5 14 15 19
2018-10-31	6	3rd	4 8 15 30 33
2018-10-10	14	3rd	4 14 15 30 35
2018-08-22	3	1st	15 19 24 27 33
2018-08-11	11	3rd	12 13 15 16 23
2018-07-04	5	2nd	10 15 19 22 27
2018-06-16	2	3rd	4 12 15 28 30
2018-06-09	4	3rd	5 10 15 25 35
2018-05-26	3	3rd	1 14 15 19 30
2018-05-16	1	3rd	5 7 15 33 35
2018-05-12	10	2nd	14 15 23 29 34
2018-04-07	9	3rd	7 13 15 21 29
2018-03-07	3	4th	3 8 13 15 25
2018-02-24	3	1st	15 19 23 27 28
2018-02-14	5	3rd	9 14 15 17 29
2018-01-27	4	2nd	1 15 23 24 29
2018-01-13	3	3rd	1 6 15 17 19
2018-01-03	1	3rd	5 10 15 33 35
2017-12-30	6	2nd	14 15 17 23 25
2017-12-09	1	2nd	6 15 16 19 28
2017-12-06	2	5th	3 6 9 10 15
2017-11-29	9	2nd	10 15 20 32 35
2017-10-28	1	3rd	2 4 15 21 26
2017-10-25	7	2nd	11 15 21 26 29
2017-09-30	1	4th	5 8 10 15 25
2017-09-27	1	2nd	2 15 23 25 26
2017-09-23	3	2nd	13 15 25 33 34
2017-09-13	4	1st	15 22 25 26 34
2017-08-30	4	4th	7 8 14 15 16
2017-08-16	2	2nd	13 15 18 26 35
2017-08-09	5	3rd	10 14 15 20 33
2017-07-22	3	4th	1 4 5 15 25
2017-07-12	10	4th	1 6 13 15 25
2017-06-07	4	3rd	6 10 15 20 25
2017-05-24	2	3rd	5 14 15 18 21
2017-05-17	14	3rd	4 9 15 20 30
2017-03-29	2	3rd	8 9 15 20 26
2017-03-22	13	4th	8 9 10 15 30
2017-02-04	10	4th	8 11 12 15 17
2016-12-31	6	2nd	4 15 17 25 29
2016-12-10	2	5th	3 6 8 10 15
2016-12-03	7	2nd	9 15 26 27 29
2016-11-09	3	3rd	3 12 15 17 35
2016-10-29	2	3rd	1 4 15 22 35
2016-10-22	13	4th	2 9 11 15 30
2016-09-07	14	2nd	9 15 22 23 28
2016-07-20	6	2nd	7 15 21 25 30
2016-06-29	1	2nd	1 15 18 24 33
2016-06-25	1	4th	7 9 14 15 27
2016-06-22	3	3rd	4 8 15 19 35
2016-06-11	6	1st	15 21 28 31 34
2016-05-21	5	2nd	14 15 18 24 29
2016-05-04	2	3rd	1 3 15 18 27
2016-04-27	5	2nd	11 15 16 19 22
2016-04-09	2	2nd	6 15 21 31 35
2016-04-02	11	3rd	1 10 15 29 35
2016-02-24	8	2nd	11 15 30 31 32
2016-01-27	11	2nd	10 15 22 31 34
2015-12-19	12	2nd	12 15 30 33 35
2015-11-07	5	2nd	14 15 17 23 31
2015-10-21	3	2nd	3 15 19 21 34
2015-10-10	14	3rd	2 3 15 18 25
2015-08-22	7	2nd	11 15 20 24 29
2015-07-29	2	4th	3 6 12 15 29
2015-07-22	4	2nd	12 15 25 31 35
2015-07-08	6	2nd	2 15 18 20 21
2015-06-17	5	3rd	11 14 15 34 35
2015-05-30	6	2nd	13 15 19 20 29
2015-05-09	1	2nd	1 15 16 27 31
2015-05-06	2	3rd	6 8 15 25 27
2015-04-29	51	4th	3 6 14 15 20
2014-11-01	11	2nd	2 15 16 26 31
2014-09-24	9	3rd	9 11 15 23 27
2014-08-23	2	1st	15 16 25 26 27
2014-08-16	1	3rd	1 8 15 16 27
2014-08-13	2	1st	15 17 22 23 29
2014-08-06	1	2nd	7 15 22 24 34
2014-08-02	1	1st	15 18 19 27 29
2014-07-30	19	2nd	1 15 26 33 35
2014-05-24	1	5th	3 6 7 14 15
2014-05-21	11	3rd	2 10 15 16 33
2014-04-12	3	2nd	1 15 22 23 26
2014-04-02	5	2nd	12 15 19 24 27
2014-03-15	1	3rd	1 14 15 24 34
2014-03-12	2	2nd	7 15 21 23 24
2014-03-05	10	2nd	13 15 24 26 28
2014-01-29	32	2nd	5 15 20 27 29
2013-10-09	11	4th	1 9 10 15 24
2013-08-31	3	1st	15 21 23 34 35
2013-08-21	3	2nd	11 15 19 23 32
2013-08-10	4	3rd	1 10 15 25 34
2013-07-27	1	2nd	5 15 16 25 30
2013-07-24	28	1st	15 16 19 20 29
2013-04-17	2	2nd	4 15 18 22 33
2013-04-10	4	3rd	2 14 15 20 28
2013-03-27	4	3rd	3 13 15 20 29
2013-03-13	14	3rd	7 9 15 21 29
2013-01-23	2	3rd	6 13 15 19 25
2013-01-16	4	3rd	8 12 15 22 32
2013-01-02	18	3rd	3 10 15 18 19
2012-10-31	25	2nd	8 15 19 22 23
2012-08-04	5	3rd	3 8 15 22 30
2012-07-18	11	2nd	2 15 19 22 27
2012-06-09	2	3rd	4 7 15 23 27
2012-06-02	13	2nd	2 15 17 22 26
2012-04-18	2	2nd	8 15 24 25 35
2012-04-11	8	2nd	10 15 23 29 30
2012-03-14	2	2nd	1 15 21 22 29
2012-03-07	9	2nd	9 15 17 20 22
2012-02-04	9	4th	3 6 7 15 16
2012-01-04	3	3rd	5 7 15 20 28
2011-12-24	12	2nd	2 15 17 24 30
2011-11-12	1	1st	15 18 21 30 35
2011-11-09	19	3rd	1 9 15 20 23
2011-09-03	2	3rd	4 8 15 22 24
2011-08-27	4	1st	15 16 24 27 33
2011-08-13	14	3rd	4 7 15 16 20
2011-06-25	6	2nd	14 15 16 17 27
2011-06-04	14	3rd	1 3 15 16 21
2011-04-16	14	3rd	5 12 15 16 29
2011-02-26	5	1st	15 17 21 23 26
2011-02-09	4	3rd	4 10 15 18 26
2011-01-26	1	4th	1 10 13 15 34
2011-01-22	19	4th	1 2 7 15 35
2010-11-17	5	4th	5 9 10 15 31
2010-10-30	4	2nd	7 15 17 24 26
2010-10-16	8	2nd	8 15 18 25 34
2010-09-18	1	2nd	13 15 16 18 28
2010-09-15	4	3rd	10 14 15 20 32
2010-09-01	1	4th	11 12 13 15 32
2010-08-28	3	2nd	3 15 18 19 32
2010-08-18	3	3rd	6 7 15 22 24
2010-08-07	2	2nd	6 15 19 31 33
2010-07-31	3	3rd	1 13 15 23 26
2010-07-21	5	2nd	3 15 25 26 31
2010-07-03	6	2nd	9 15 20 30 35
2010-06-12	—	4th	1 7 9 15 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Dakota Cash · every number