In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 2025 rules — 114 draws, 1 from 1–35.
5times drawn · chance expected 3 +0.98σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 97% for any number
27.3average wait between appearances · chance says 35.0
70longest completed wait · 44% chance of one at least that long
23 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 5 times in 114 draws against 3.3 expected, +0.98σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
23
Number 23, draw by draw
Drawn 5 times in 114 draws · average wait 27.3 draws · longest completed wait 70 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 34 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 34 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 1/35 tonight whatever it did last week.