In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Sep 2022 rules — 560 draws, 1 from 1–15.
45times drawn · chance expected 37 +1.30σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
12.5average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
63longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 45 times in 560 draws against 37.3 expected, +1.30σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
5
Number 5, draw by draw
Drawn 45 times in 560 draws · average wait 12.5 draws · longest completed wait 63 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.