Saturday, 25 January 2014

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 7, 15) with the draw of 22 January 2014 — its closest relative in 397 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 January 2014): 6, 7, 15 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 51 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 5.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.