Megabucks · every number
15
Number 15 In Megabucks under the 6/49 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,727 draws, 6 from 1–49.
198 times drawn · chance expected 211 −0.99σ
12 draws waiting · a wait this long: 24% for any number
8.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
49 longest completed wait · 31% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 198 times in 1,727 draws against 211.5 expected, −0.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 198 times in 1,727 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 12 draws now
18 draws: 2010-04-21 to 2010-06-23 9 draws: 2010-06-23 to 2010-07-24 7 draws: 2010-07-24 to 2010-08-18 28 draws: 2010-08-18 to 2010-11-24 27 draws: 2010-11-24 to 2011-02-26 3 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-09 1 draws: 2011-03-09 to 2011-03-12 2 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-03-19 23 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-06-08 4 draws: 2011-06-08 to 2011-06-22 11 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-07-30 2 draws: 2011-07-30 to 2011-08-06 10 draws: 2011-08-06 to 2011-09-10 4 draws: 2011-09-10 to 2011-09-24 4 draws: 2011-09-24 to 2011-10-08 4 draws: 2011-10-08 to 2011-10-22 2 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-10-29 10 draws: 2011-10-29 to 2011-12-03 5 draws: 2011-12-03 to 2011-12-21 4 draws: 2011-12-21 to 2012-01-04 1 draws: 2012-01-04 to 2012-01-07 19 draws: 2012-01-07 to 2012-03-14 4 draws: 2012-03-14 to 2012-03-28 21 draws: 2012-03-28 to 2012-06-09 14 draws: 2012-06-09 to 2012-07-28 15 draws: 2012-07-28 to 2012-09-19 14 draws: 2012-09-19 to 2012-11-07 24 draws: 2012-11-07 to 2013-01-30 5 draws: 2013-01-30 to 2013-02-16 26 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-05-18 6 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-06-08 4 draws: 2013-06-08 to 2013-06-22 1 draws: 2013-06-22 to 2013-06-26 18 draws: 2013-06-26 to 2013-08-28 11 draws: 2013-08-28 to 2013-10-05 7 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-10-30 4 draws: 2013-10-30 to 2013-11-13 7 draws: 2013-11-13 to 2013-12-07 1 draws: 2013-12-07 to 2013-12-11 3 draws: 2013-12-11 to 2013-12-21 9 draws: 2013-12-21 to 2014-01-22 1 draws: 2014-01-22 to 2014-01-25 5 draws: 2014-01-25 to 2014-02-12 12 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-03-26 12 draws: 2014-03-26 to 2014-05-07 9 draws: 2014-05-07 to 2014-06-07 12 draws: 2014-06-07 to 2014-07-19 1 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-07-23 19 draws: 2014-07-23 to 2014-09-27 4 draws: 2014-09-27 to 2014-10-11 13 draws: 2014-10-11 to 2014-11-26 1 draws: 2014-11-26 to 2014-11-29 19 draws: 2014-11-29 to 2015-02-04 22 draws: 2015-02-04 to 2015-04-22 24 draws: 2015-04-22 to 2015-07-15 11 draws: 2015-07-15 to 2015-08-22 5 draws: 2015-08-22 to 2015-09-09 3 draws: 2015-09-09 to 2015-09-19 9 draws: 2015-09-19 to 2015-10-21 1 draws: 2015-10-21 to 2015-10-24 19 draws: 2015-10-24 to 2015-12-30 3 draws: 2015-12-30 to 2016-01-09 2 draws: 2016-01-09 to 2016-01-16 1 draws: 2016-01-16 to 2016-01-20 9 draws: 2016-01-20 to 2016-02-20 1 draws: 2016-02-20 to 2016-02-24 1 draws: 2016-02-24 to 2016-02-27 23 draws: 2016-02-27 to 2016-05-18 4 draws: 2016-05-18 to 2016-06-01 9 draws: 2016-06-01 to 2016-07-02 2 draws: 2016-07-02 to 2016-07-09 14 draws: 2016-07-09 to 2016-08-27 14 draws: 2016-08-27 to 2016-10-15 10 draws: 2016-10-15 to 2016-11-19 13 draws: 2016-11-19 to 2017-01-04 5 draws: 2017-01-04 to 2017-01-21 8 draws: 2017-01-21 to 2017-02-18 8 draws: 2017-02-18 to 2017-03-18 28 draws: 2017-03-18 to 2017-06-24 1 draws: 2017-06-24 to 2017-06-28 20 draws: 2017-06-28 to 2017-09-06 11 draws: 2017-09-06 to 2017-10-14 12 draws: 2017-10-14 to 2017-11-25 15 draws: 2017-11-25 to 2018-01-17 4 draws: 2018-01-17 to 2018-01-31 8 draws: 2018-01-31 to 2018-02-28 7 draws: 2018-02-28 to 2018-03-24 10 draws: 2018-03-24 to 2018-04-28 8 draws: 2018-04-28 to 2018-05-26 12 draws: 2018-05-26 to 2018-07-07 5 draws: 2018-07-07 to 2018-07-25 8 draws: 2018-07-25 to 2018-08-22 10 draws: 2018-08-22 to 2018-09-26 2 draws: 2018-09-26 to 2018-10-03 13 draws: 2018-10-03 to 2018-11-17 15 draws: 2018-11-17 to 2019-01-09 3 draws: 2019-01-09 to 2019-01-19 18 draws: 2019-01-19 to 2019-03-23 1 draws: 2019-03-23 to 2019-03-27 2 draws: 2019-03-27 to 2019-04-03 6 draws: 2019-04-03 to 2019-04-24 3 draws: 2019-04-24 to 2019-05-04 36 draws: 2019-05-04 to 2019-09-07 37 draws: 2019-09-07 to 2020-01-15 1 draws: 2020-01-15 to 2020-01-18 6 draws: 2020-01-18 to 2020-02-08 3 draws: 2020-02-08 to 2020-02-19 6 draws: 2020-02-19 to 2020-03-11 3 draws: 2020-03-11 to 2020-03-21 12 draws: 2020-03-21 to 2020-05-02 6 draws: 2020-05-02 to 2020-05-23 11 draws: 2020-05-23 to 2020-07-01 3 draws: 2020-07-01 to 2020-07-11 12 draws: 2020-07-11 to 2020-08-22 15 draws: 2020-08-22 to 2020-10-14 7 draws: 2020-10-14 to 2020-11-07 6 draws: 2020-11-07 to 2020-11-28 15 draws: 2020-11-28 to 2021-01-20 22 draws: 2021-01-20 to 2021-04-07 1 draws: 2021-04-07 to 2021-04-10 1 draws: 2021-04-10 to 2021-04-14 8 draws: 2021-04-14 to 2021-05-12 1 draws: 2021-05-12 to 2021-05-15 1 draws: 2021-05-15 to 2021-05-19 8 draws: 2021-05-19 to 2021-06-16 49 draws: 2021-06-16 to 2021-12-04 13 draws: 2021-12-04 to 2022-01-19 8 draws: 2022-01-19 to 2022-02-16 2 draws: 2022-02-16 to 2022-02-23 4 draws: 2022-02-23 to 2022-03-09 6 draws: 2022-03-09 to 2022-03-30 1 draws: 2022-03-30 to 2022-04-02 10 draws: 2022-04-02 to 2022-05-07 6 draws: 2022-05-07 to 2022-05-28 1 draws: 2022-05-28 to 2022-06-01 13 draws: 2022-06-01 to 2022-07-16 2 draws: 2022-07-16 to 2022-07-23 9 draws: 2022-07-23 to 2022-08-24 9 draws: 2022-08-24 to 2022-09-24 5 draws: 2022-09-24 to 2022-10-12 6 draws: 2022-10-12 to 2022-11-02 4 draws: 2022-11-02 to 2022-11-16 2 draws: 2022-11-16 to 2022-11-23 1 draws: 2022-11-23 to 2022-11-26 12 draws: 2022-11-26 to 2023-01-07 2 draws: 2023-01-07 to 2023-01-14 9 draws: 2023-01-14 to 2023-02-15 6 draws: 2023-02-15 to 2023-03-08 5 draws: 2023-03-08 to 2023-03-25 1 draws: 2023-03-25 to 2023-03-29 3 draws: 2023-03-29 to 2023-04-08 21 draws: 2023-04-08 to 2023-06-21 4 draws: 2023-06-21 to 2023-07-05 4 draws: 2023-07-05 to 2023-07-19 2 draws: 2023-07-19 to 2023-07-26 11 draws: 2023-07-26 to 2023-09-02 1 draws: 2023-09-02 to 2023-09-06 15 draws: 2023-09-06 to 2023-10-28 23 draws: 2023-10-28 to 2024-01-17 15 draws: 2024-01-17 to 2024-03-09 10 draws: 2024-03-09 to 2024-04-13 9 draws: 2024-04-13 to 2024-05-15 5 draws: 2024-05-15 to 2024-06-01 4 draws: 2024-06-01 to 2024-06-15 5 draws: 2024-06-15 to 2024-07-03 7 draws: 2024-07-03 to 2024-07-27 11 draws: 2024-07-27 to 2024-09-04 8 draws: 2024-09-04 to 2024-10-02 8 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-30 3 draws: 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-09 11 draws: 2024-11-09 to 2024-12-18 24 draws: 2024-12-18 to 2025-03-12 2 draws: 2025-03-12 to 2025-03-19 4 draws: 2025-03-19 to 2025-04-02 24 draws: 2025-04-02 to 2025-06-25 3 draws: 2025-06-25 to 2025-07-05 1 draws: 2025-07-05 to 2025-07-09 1 draws: 2025-07-09 to 2025-07-12 6 draws: 2025-07-12 to 2025-08-02 1 draws: 2025-08-02 to 2025-08-06 1 draws: 2025-08-06 to 2025-08-09 25 draws: 2025-08-09 to 2025-11-05 6 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-26 3 draws: 2025-11-26 to 2025-12-06 4 draws: 2025-12-06 to 2025-12-20 13 draws: 2025-12-20 to 2026-02-04 1 draws: 2026-02-04 to 2026-02-07 6 draws: 2026-02-07 to 2026-02-28 3 draws: 2026-02-28 to 2026-03-11 6 draws: 2026-03-11 to 2026-04-01 5 draws: 2026-04-01 to 2026-04-18 13 draws: 2026-04-18 to 2026-06-03 2 draws: 2026-06-03 to 2026-06-10 20 draws: 2026-06-10 to 2026-08-19 1 draws: 2026-08-19 to 2026-08-22 3 draws: 2026-08-22 to 2026-09-02 2 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-09 Still waiting — at least 12 draws since 2026-09-09 2010-04-21 2010-06-23 2010-07-24 2010-08-18 2010-11-24 2011-02-26 2011-03-09 2011-03-12 2011-03-19 2011-06-08 2011-06-22 2011-07-30 2011-08-06 2011-09-10 2011-09-24 2011-10-08 2011-10-22 2011-10-29 2011-12-03 2011-12-21 2012-01-04 2012-01-07 2012-03-14 2012-03-28 2012-06-09 2012-07-28 2012-09-19 2012-11-07 2013-01-30 2013-02-16 2013-05-18 2013-06-08 2013-06-22 2013-06-26 2013-08-28 2013-10-05 2013-10-30 2013-11-13 2013-12-07 2013-12-11 2013-12-21 2014-01-22 2014-01-25 2014-02-12 2014-03-26 2014-05-07 2014-06-07 2014-07-19 2014-07-23 2014-09-27 2014-10-11 2014-11-26 2014-11-29 2015-02-04 2015-04-22 2015-07-15 2015-08-22 2015-09-09 2015-09-19 2015-10-21 2015-10-24 2015-12-30 2016-01-09 2016-01-16 2016-01-20 2016-02-20 2016-02-24 2016-02-27 2016-05-18 2016-06-01 2016-07-02 2016-07-09 2016-08-27 2016-10-15 2016-11-19 2017-01-04 2017-01-21 2017-02-18 2017-03-18 2017-06-24 2017-06-28 2017-09-06 2017-10-14 2017-11-25 2018-01-17 2018-01-31 2018-02-28 2018-03-24 2018-04-28 2018-05-26 2018-07-07 2018-07-25 2018-08-22 2018-09-26 2018-10-03 2018-11-17 2019-01-09 2019-01-19 2019-03-23 2019-03-27 2019-04-03 2019-04-24 2019-05-04 2019-09-07 2020-01-15 2020-01-18 2020-02-08 2020-02-19 2020-03-11 2020-03-21 2020-05-02 2020-05-23 2020-07-01 2020-07-11 2020-08-22 2020-10-14 2020-11-07 2020-11-28 2021-01-20 2021-04-07 2021-04-10 2021-04-14 2021-05-12 2021-05-15 2021-05-19 2021-06-16 2021-12-04 2022-01-19 2022-02-16 2022-02-23 2022-03-09 2022-03-30 2022-04-02 2022-05-07 2022-05-28 2022-06-01 2022-07-16 2022-07-23 2022-08-24 2022-09-24 2022-10-12 2022-11-02 2022-11-16 2022-11-23 2022-11-26 2023-01-07 2023-01-14 2023-02-15 2023-03-08 2023-03-25 2023-03-29 2023-04-08 2023-06-21 2023-07-05 2023-07-19 2023-07-26 2023-09-02 2023-09-06 2023-10-28 2024-01-17 2024-03-09 2024-04-13 2024-05-15 2024-06-01 2024-06-15 2024-07-03 2024-07-27 2024-09-04 2024-10-02 2024-10-30 2024-11-09 2024-12-18 2025-03-12 2025-03-19 2025-04-02 2025-06-25 2025-07-05 2025-07-09 2025-07-12 2025-08-02 2025-08-06 2025-08-09 2025-11-05 2025-11-26 2025-12-06 2025-12-20 2026-02-04 2026-02-07 2026-02-28 2026-03-11 2026-04-01 2026-04-18 2026-06-03 2026-06-10 2026-08-19 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 2026-09-09 2010-04-07 2026-10-21
1 draws: 29 times 2 draws: 15 times 3 draws: 15 times 4 draws: 18 times 5 draws: 11 times 6 draws: 14 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 10 times 9 draws: 10 times 10 draws: 7 times 11 draws: 8 times 12 draws: 8 times 13 draws: 7 times 14 draws: 4 times 15 draws: 7 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 3 times 19 draws: 4 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 3 times 24 draws: 4 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 2 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 1 time 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 1 time 50 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 32 · chance 32.2 2nd smallest 66 · chance 75.1 3rd smallest 72 · chance 63.0 4th smallest 24 · chance 23.6 5th smallest 3 · chance 3.9 6th smallest 1 · chance 0.2 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in The other 174 appearances ← number 14 Every number number 16 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.