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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Oz Lotto under the 7/47 + 3/47 · since May 2022 rules — 232 draws, 7 from 1–47.
Drawn 37 times in 232 draws against 34.6 expected, +0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 12 times, counted separately.
Drawn 37 times in 232 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 32 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 46 numbers; chance expects about 0.4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 32 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 32 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 32 is drawn with probability 7/47 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 5th |
| 14912323845 |
| 2023-09-19 | 8 | 3rd | 14233233353645 |
| 2023-07-25 | 33 | 4th | 1101432394344 |
| 2022-12-06 | 6 | 5th | 251124323444 |
| 2022-10-25 | 2 | 6th | 17915233239 |
| 2022-10-11 | 5 | 6th | 16192327313247 |
| 2022-09-06 | 1 | 5th | 8121928323441 |
| 2022-08-30 | 3 | 5th | 12242728323439 |
| 2022-08-09 | 10 | 4th | 13162132374345 |
| 2022-05-31 | — | 5th | 20212730323640 |