Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 111 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 15 times in 111 draws against 13.6 expected, +0.41σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
Drawn 15 times in 111 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 21 | 2nd | 61819313542 |
| 2026-07-01 | 1 | 4th | 2310184246 |
| 2026-06-27 | 3 | 3rd | 5818212647 |
| 2026-06-17 | 7 | 1st | 182127394042 |
| 2026-05-23 | 5 | 3rd | 91218314246 |
| 2026-05-06 | 11 | 1st | 181921232940 |
| 2026-03-28 | 14 | 2nd | 81823283840 |
| 2026-02-07 | 3 | 3rd | 101118243048 |
| 2026-01-28 | 4 | 4th | 41113183042 |
| 2026-01-14 | 1 | 2nd | 131820354748 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2 | 3rd | 1518343844 |
| 2026-01-03 | 9 | 2nd | 11826313347 |
| 2025-12-03 | 5 | 2nd | 41829364046 |
| 2025-11-15 | 13 | 4th | 156182333 |
| 2025-09-27 | — | 3rd | 11718293032 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.