In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 2025 rules — 111 draws, 6 from 1–49.
23times drawn · chance expected 14 +2.72σ
2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number
4.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
16longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 23 times in 111 draws against 13.6 expected, +2.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 0 times, counted separately.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 23 times in 111 draws · average wait 4.9 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.