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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Atlantic 49 · every number

21

Number 21

In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 · May 2025 – Sep 2025 rules — 37 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

6/49 + 1/49 · since Sep 20256/49 · May 2025 – Sep 2025
5times drawn · chance expected 5 +0.24σ
13draws waiting · a wait this long: 21% for any number
3.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
6longest completed wait · 95% chance of one at least that long
21 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 5 times in 37 draws against 4.5 expected, +0.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

21

Number 21, draw by draw

Drawn 5 times in 37 draws · average wait 3.8 draws · longest completed wait 6 · waiting 13 draws now

4 draws: 2025-06-18 to 2025-07-022 draws: 2025-07-02 to 2025-07-096 draws: 2025-07-09 to 2025-07-303 draws: 2025-07-30 to 2025-08-09Still waiting — at least 13 draws since 2025-08-092025-06-182025-07-022025-07-092025-07-302025-08-092025-05-212025-09-24

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 0 times2 draws: 1 time3 draws: 1 time4 draws: 1 time5 draws: 0 times6 draws: 1 time7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.3
  • 2nd smallest3 · chance 1.2
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 1.8
  • 4th smallest2 · chance 1.3
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.4
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

    • Every position’s lane →

    The company it keeps

    Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

    139323335

    Never drawn alongside 30 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 29 such strangers by now. Every pair →

    How many people play it

    Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

    • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

    The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →

    Every draw it appeared in

    DateWaitPositionThe draw
    2025-08-0934th31116212435
    2025-07-3062nd12127304348
    2025-07-0922nd92132334448
    2025-07-0244th139212234
    2025-06-18—2nd22132333537
    ← number 20Every numbernumber 22 →
    What this cannot tell you

    Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.