Number 30

In Atlantic 49 under the 6/49 · May 2025 – Sep 2025 rules — 37 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

6times drawn · chance expected 5 +0.74σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

17longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 6 times in 37 draws against 4.5 expected, +0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 6 times in 37 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.4
3rd smallest1 · chance 1.4
4th smallest4 · chance 2.2
5th smallest1 · chance 1.6
6th smallest0 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 3 13 27 44 45

Never drawn alongside 25 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 26 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-09-20	1	3rd	13 18 30 32 44 45
2025-09-17	8	4th	13 24 28 30 41 46
2025-08-20	6	4th	3 15 18 30 35 36

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.