In Bucko under the 5/41 · since May 2025 rules — 494 draws, 5 from 1–41.
48times drawn · chance expected 60 −1.68σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 77% for any number
10.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
34longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long
23 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 48 times in 494 draws against 60.2 expected, −1.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
23
Number 23, draw by draw
Drawn 48 times in 494 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 40 numbers; chance expects about 0.3 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.