In Bucko under the 5/41 · since May 2025 rules — 494 draws, 5 from 1–41.
45times drawn · chance expected 60 −2.10σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number
11.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
45longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long
25 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 45 times in 494 draws against 60.2 expected, −2.10σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
25
Number 25, draw by draw
Drawn 45 times in 494 draws · average wait 11.1 draws · longest completed wait 45 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.4 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.