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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 11 times in 108 draws against 9.6 expected, +0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 108 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 36 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 20 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 36 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 36 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 1 | 4th | 271636 |
| 2026-08-15 | 11 | 4th | 2132936 |
| 2026-05-30 | 5 | 3rd | 5143640 |
| 2026-04-25 | 8 | 4th | 20213336 |
| 2026-02-28 | 13 | 4th | 10112636 |
| 2025-11-29 | 5 | 4th | 9152536 |
| 2025-10-25 | 29 | 3rd | 3163643 |
| 2025-04-05 | 2 | 3rd | 16183637 |
| 2025-03-22 | 8 | 2nd | 16364044 |
| 2025-01-25 | 4 | 4th | 17202636 |
| 2024-12-28 | — | 4th | 67936 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 36 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.