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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lottario Early Bird · every number

5

Number 5

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 4 from 1–45.

10times drawn · chance expected 10 +0.14σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
10.8average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3
28longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long
5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 10 times in 108 draws against 9.6 expected, +0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

5

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 10 times in 108 draws · average wait 10.8 draws · longest completed wait 28 · drawn in the most recent draw

6 draws: 2024-12-07 to 2025-01-186 draws: 2025-01-18 to 2025-03-0128 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-09-139 draws: 2025-09-13 to 2025-11-159 draws: 2025-11-15 to 2026-01-1717 draws: 2026-01-17 to 2026-05-162 draws: 2026-05-16 to 2026-05-3018 draws: 2026-05-30 to 2026-10-032 draws: 2026-10-03 to 2026-10-172024-12-072025-01-182025-03-012025-09-132025-11-152026-01-172026-05-162026-05-302026-10-032026-10-172024-09-282026-10-17

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 0 times2 draws: 2 times3 draws: 0 times4 draws: 0 times5 draws: 0 times6 draws: 2 times7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 2 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 1 time29 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest8 · chance 7.5
  • 2nd smallest1 · chance 2.4
  • 3rd smallest1 · chance 0.2
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

233910113035

Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-10-1721st5102739
2026-10-03181st5101623
2026-05-3021st5143640
2026-05-16171st5283237
← number 4Every numbernumber 6 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-01-17
9
1st
571139
2025-11-1591st5111330
2025-09-13283rd23518
2025-03-0161st5121935
2025-01-1862nd452335
2024-12-07—1st5233039