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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Lottario Early Bird · every number

38

Number 38

In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 4 from 1–45.

7times drawn · chance expected 10 −0.88σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number
16.5average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3
36longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 7 times in 108 draws against 9.6 expected, −0.88σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

38

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 7 times in 108 draws · average wait 16.5 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 4 draws now

19 draws: 2024-10-26 to 2025-03-086 draws: 2025-03-08 to 2025-04-1911 draws: 2025-04-19 to 2025-07-0517 draws: 2025-07-05 to 2025-11-0136 draws: 2025-11-01 to 2026-07-1110 draws: 2026-07-11 to 2026-09-19Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2026-09-192024-10-262025-03-082025-04-192025-07-052025-11-012026-07-112026-09-192024-09-282026-10-17

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 0 times2 draws: 0 times3 draws: 0 times4 draws: 0 times5 draws: 0 times6 draws: 1 time7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 0 times30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 0 times35 draws: 0 times36 draws: 1 time37 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.4
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 2.5
  • 4th smallest7 · chance 4.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3011721014

Never drawn alongside 27 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 27 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-09-19104th2103238
2026-07-11364th17233038
2025-11-01174th14273438
2025-07-05114th1263538
← number 37Every numbernumber 39 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-19
6
4th
1303738
2025-03-08194th20213338
2024-10-26—4th16173038