In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 148 draws, 6 from 1–49.
21times drawn · chance expected 18 +0.72σ
14draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number
6.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
29longest completed wait · 41% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 21 times in 148 draws against 18.1 expected, +0.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
11
Number 11, draw by draw
Drawn 21 times in 148 draws · average wait 6.3 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.