Number 4

In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 148 draws, 6 from 1–49.

15times drawn · chance expected 18 −0.78σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

36longest completed wait · 14% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 148 draws against 18.1 expected, −0.78σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 148 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest12 · chance 10.7
2nd smallest3 · chance 3.9
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

25 33 15 23 28 31

Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-17	1	1st	4 12 22 25 43 46
2026-10-14	1	1st	4 14 25 28 33 38
2026-10-10	4	1st	4 10 13 15 33 41
2026-09-26	3	1st	4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.