Number 40

In Québec Max under the 7/52 · since Apr 2026 rules — 53 draws, 7 from 1–52.

9times drawn · chance expected 7 +0.75σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 87% for any number

5.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.4

15longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 53 draws against 7.1 expected, +0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 53 draws · average wait 5.5 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest1 · chance 0.2
4th smallest0 · chance 1.0
5th smallest3 · chance 2.7
6th smallest5 · chance 3.5
7th smallest0 · chance 1.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 50 4 49 9 11

Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 51 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-16	5	5th	8 16 27 32 40 43 47
2026-09-29	3	5th	14 18 22 29 40 45 49
2026-09-18	15	6th	4 9 11 26 37 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 7/52 tonight whatever it did last week.