Number 40

In Québec Max under the 7/50 · May 2025 – Apr 2026 rules — 96 draws, 7 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.31σ

30draws waiting · a wait this long: 1% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.1

16longest completed wait · 58% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 96 draws against 13.4 expected, −1.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 30 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 96 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 30 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.1
4th smallest2 · chance 0.7
5th smallest1 · chance 2.4
6th smallest3 · chance 3.7
7th smallest3 · chance 2.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

4 21 22 50 3 7

Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-01-06	10	7th	2 4 5 21 22 33 40
2025-12-02	8	6th	9 15 21 26 27 40 50
2025-10-31	4	4th	20 22 39 40 44

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 7/50 tonight whatever it did last week.