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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Spiel 77 under the 7/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 216 draws, 7 from 0–9.
Drawn 139 times in 216 draws against 151.2 expected, −1.81σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 139 times in 216 draws · average wait 1.5 draws · longest completed wait 10 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 92.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 9 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | 10 | 3rd | 0024469 |
| 2026-09-09 | 3 | 3rd | 0125778 |
| 2026-08-29 | 1 | 4th | 0012457 |
| 2026-08-26 | 1 | 4th | 1112355 |
| 2026-08-22 | 1 | 4th | 0012466 |
| 2026-08-19 | 5 | 3rd | 0024469 |
| 2026-08-01 | 1 | 1st | 2556789 |
| 2026-07-29 | 1 | 2nd | 0233446 |
| 2026-07-25 | 1 | 3rd | 0025589 |
| 2026-07-22 | 1 | 4th | 0012447 |
| 2026-07-18 | 0 | 1st | 23569 |
| 2026-07-18 | 0 | 1st | 23569 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2 | 1st | 23569 |
| 2026-07-11 | 0 | 1st | 245779 |
| 2026-07-11 | 1 | 1st | 245779 |
| 2026-07-08 | 1 | 2nd | 0256778 |
| 2026-07-04 | 0 | 2nd | 023479 |
| 2026-07-04 | 1 | 2nd | 023479 |
| 2026-07-01 | 5 | 2nd | 1235579 |
| 2026-06-13 | 0 | 2nd | 023577 |
| 2026-06-13 | 1 | 2nd | 023577 |
| 2026-06-10 | 0 | 2nd | 123489 |
| 2026-06-10 | 5 | 2nd | 123489 |
| 2026-05-23 | 1 | 2nd | 1235668 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 7/10 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 0 |
| 1st |
| 267999 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1 | 1st | 267999 |
| 2026-04-29 | 1 | 4th | 0012677 |
| 2026-04-25 | 1 | 2nd | 1245688 |
| 2026-04-22 | 1 | 3rd | 0124556 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2 | 3rd | 0124468 |
| 2026-04-11 | 1 | 2nd | 1234789 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2 | 2nd | 1244589 |
| 2026-04-01 | 4 | 2nd | 0267789 |
| 2026-03-18 | 1 | 4th | 0012348 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1 | 1st | 2344679 |
| 2026-03-11 | 0 | 2nd | 027799 |
| 2026-03-11 | 1 | 2nd | 027799 |
| 2026-03-07 | 1 | 1st | 2355899 |
| 2026-03-04 | 0 | 1st | 246699 |
| 2026-03-04 | 1 | 1st | 246699 |
| 2026-02-28 | 5 | 3rd | 1124678 |
| 2026-02-11 | 1 | 1st | 2445699 |
| 2026-02-07 | 1 | 2nd | 1255569 |
| 2026-02-04 | 1 | 3rd | 0124679 |
| 2026-01-31 | 4 | 2nd | 0257899 |
| 2026-01-17 | 0 | 2nd | 024457 |
| 2026-01-17 | 3 | 2nd | 024457 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0 | 2nd | 02489 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0 | 2nd | 02489 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1 | 2nd | 02489 |
| 2026-01-03 | 1 | 2nd | 1244478 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2 | 2nd | 0246788 |
| 2025-12-24 | 0 | 2nd | 123799 |
| 2025-12-24 | 2 | 2nd | 123799 |
| 2025-12-17 | 3 | 3rd | 0124456 |
| 2025-12-06 | 1 | 4th | 0002348 |
| 2025-12-03 | 1 | 2nd | 0235789 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2 | 2nd | 0234889 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2 | 2nd | 1245669 |
| 2025-11-15 | 4 | 4th | 0112779 |
| 2025-10-29 | 1 | 1st | 2335889 |
| 2025-10-25 | 3 | 2nd | 1233667 |
| 2025-10-15 | 1 | 2nd | 1245689 |
| 2025-10-11 | 0 | 2nd | 12888 |
| 2025-10-11 | 0 | 2nd | 12888 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2 | 2nd | 12888 |
| 2025-10-04 | 0 | 2nd | 12336 |
| 2025-10-04 | 0 | 2nd | 12336 |
| 2025-10-04 | 1 | 2nd | 12336 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0 | 1st | 23347 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0 | 1st | 23347 |
| 2025-10-01 | 1 | 1st | 23347 |
| 2025-09-27 | 3 | 2nd | 1234558 |
| 2025-09-17 | 3 | 3rd | 0124689 |
| 2025-09-06 | 0 | 1st | 235679 |
| 2025-09-06 | 3 | 1st | 235679 |
| 2025-08-27 | 2 | 3rd | 0125799 |
| 2025-08-20 | 5 | 3rd | 0123568 |
| 2025-08-02 | 1 | 2nd | 1233579 |
| 2025-07-30 | 1 | 4th | 0002678 |
| 2025-07-26 | 1 | 3rd | 0124469 |
| 2025-07-23 | 1 | 2nd | 0233889 |
| 2025-07-19 | 7 | 3rd | 0026689 |
| 2025-06-25 | 2 | 3rd | 0123479 |
| 2025-06-18 | 0 | 2nd | 123389 |
| 2025-06-18 | 6 | 2nd | 123389 |
| 2025-05-28 | 0 | 3rd | 01258 |
| 2025-05-28 | 0 | 3rd | 01258 |
| 2025-05-28 | 1 | 3rd | 01258 |
| 2025-05-24 | 1 | 3rd | 0124466 |
| 2025-05-21 | 1 | 2nd | 1234789 |
| 2025-05-17 | 1 | 2nd | 0236699 |
| 2025-05-14 | 1 | 2nd | 1233568 |
| 2025-05-10 | 3 | 3rd | 0123566 |
| 2025-04-30 | 2 | 2nd | 1234458 |
| 2025-04-23 | 1 | 3rd | 0024899 |
| 2025-04-19 | 1 | 2nd | 0245899 |
| 2025-04-16 | 2 | 2nd | 0239999 |
| 2025-04-09 | 1 | 3rd | 1125778 |
| 2025-04-05 | 4 | 3rd | 0125579 |
| 2025-03-22 | 2 | 1st | 2556779 |
| 2025-03-15 | 3 | 4th | 0012559 |
| 2025-03-05 | 2 | 3rd | 1123489 |
| 2025-02-26 | 2 | 3rd | 0125579 |
| 2025-02-19 | 0 | 1st | 233366 |
| 2025-02-19 | 2 | 1st | 233366 |
| 2025-02-12 | 7 | 3rd | 0027779 |
| 2025-01-18 | 1 | 1st | 2334589 |
| 2025-01-15 | 3 | 1st | 2466799 |
| 2025-01-04 | 0 | 1st | 278 |
| 2025-01-04 | 0 | 1st | 278 |
| 2025-01-04 | 0 | 1st | 278 |
| 2025-01-04 | 0 | 1st | 278 |
| 2025-01-04 | 1 | 1st | 278 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0 | 2nd | 125678 |
| 2025-01-01 | 1 | 2nd | 125678 |
| 2024-12-28 | 1 | 1st | 2448899 |
| 2024-12-25 | 3 | 1st | 2344678 |
| 2024-12-14 | 4 | 2nd | 1245568 |
| 2024-11-30 | 1 | 3rd | 0123579 |
| 2024-11-27 | 1 | 2nd | 1234577 |
| 2024-11-23 | 1 | 1st | 2334579 |
| 2024-11-20 | 0 | 1st | 245557 |
| 2024-11-20 | 1 | 1st | 245557 |
| 2024-11-16 | 1 | 2nd | 1234459 |
| 2024-11-13 | 1 | 3rd | 0123899 |
| 2024-11-09 | 1 | 1st | 2366799 |
| 2024-11-06 | 2 | 2nd | 1236678 |
| 2024-10-30 | 1 | 2nd | 0244558 |
| 2024-10-26 | 0 | 3rd | 012347 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1 | 3rd | 012347 |
| 2024-10-23 | 0 | 2nd | 023499 |
| 2024-10-23 | 1 | 2nd | 023499 |
| 2024-10-19 | 1 | 3rd | 0123479 |
| 2024-10-16 | 0 | 3rd | 112369 |
| 2024-10-16 | — | 3rd | 112369 |