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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 1 November 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 1

Jackpot€11,300,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 305 of 868 under them

← 2015-10-25All recent draws2015-11-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 11 21 31 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

29oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread12th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

624times
1029times
1138times
2131times
31

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-01

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 468k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€170.8K
  • 2+039%€561.1K
  • 0+126%€372.6K
  • 5 other tiers24%€346.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

129times

Every number was expected about that many times after 304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 21) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 June 2015 — its closest relative in 304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2015): 10 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€170,792
  • 4+137≈ 32 by chance€839
  • 4+0325≈ 287 by chance€111
  • 3+11,432≈ 1.5k by chance€28.91
  • 3+013,969≈ 14k by chance€9.63
  • 2+116,443≈ 24k by chance€6.30
  • 2+0187,037≈ 216k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1248,376≈ 248k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 16,443 winners, 31% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€170,792
    4+137€839
    4+0325€111
    3+11,432€28.91
    3+013,969€9.63
    2+116,443€6.30
    2+0187,037€3.00
    0+1248,376€1.50