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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 8 November 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 9
  3. 43
  4. 47
  5. 51
  6. 2

Jackpot€11,471,259

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 306 of 868 under them

← 2015-11-01All recent draws2015-11-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 9 43 47 51 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread79th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

625times
933times
4322times
4733times
51

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 438k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€200.7K
  • 2+030%€434.1K
  • 0+128%€403.4K
  • 5 other tiers28%€407.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 305 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 9, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 July 2014 — its closest relative in 305 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 November 2015): 6 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
4≈ 1.3 by chance
€50,165
  • 4+114≈ 35 by chance€2,606
  • 4+0147≈ 311 by chance€290
  • 3+1889≈ 1.7k by chance€54.72
  • 3+08,301≈ 15k by chance€19.05
  • 2+114,741≈ 26k by chance€8.25
  • 2+0144,691≈ 234k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1268,943≈ 269k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 889 winners, 46% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+04€50,165
    4+114€2,606
    4+0147€290
    3+1889€54.72
    3+08,301€19.05
    2+114,741€8.25
    2+0144,691€3.00
    0+1268,943€1.50