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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 November 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 33
  6. 4

Jackpot€11,969,671

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 307 of 868 under them

← 2015-11-08All recent draws2015-11-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 16 18 23 33 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

519times
1624times
1826times
2334times
33

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 519k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€158.9K
  • 2+037%€547.9K
  • 0+131%€453.1K
  • 5 other tiers22%€322.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.16 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

420times

Every number was expected about that many times after 306 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 16, 18) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2013 — its closest relative in 306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.4 by chance
€79,458
  • 4+128≈ 39 by chance€1,032
  • 4+0256≈ 349 by chance€132
  • 3+11,308≈ 1.9k by chance€29.45
  • 3+012,157≈ 17k by chance€10.30
  • 2+120,099≈ 29k by chance€4.79
  • 2+0182,644≈ 263k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1302,060≈ 302k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 20,099 winners, 31% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€79,458
    4+128€1,032
    4+0256€132
    3+11,308€29.45
    3+012,157€10.30
    2+120,099€4.79
    2+0182,644€3.00
    0+1302,060€1.50