LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 7 August 2016

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 25
  5. 33
  6. 9

Jackpot€10,417,588

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 345 of 868 under them

← 2016-07-31All recent draws2016-08-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 12 25 33 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap21th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread12th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

824times
936times
1234times
2526times
33

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-07

  • Lines in play≈ 4.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 509k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€154.6K
  • 2+039%€572K
  • 0+129%€423.5K
  • 5 other tiers21%€313.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

35times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

941times

Every number was expected about that many times after 344 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 February 2016 — its closest relative in 344 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€77,280
  • 4+143≈ 36 by chance€654
  • 4+0386≈ 326 by chance€84.94
  • 3+11,501≈ 1.7k by chance€24.96
  • 3+014,628≈ 16k by chance€8.32
  • 2+119,378≈ 27k by chance€4.83
  • 2+0190,673≈ 245k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1282,324≈ 282k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 19,378 winners, 29% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€77,280
    4+143€654
    4+0386€84.94
    3+11,501€24.96
    3+014,628€8.32
    2+119,378€4.83
    2+0190,673€3.00
    0+1282,324€1.50